Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
802 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Valid 00Z Sat Oct 19 2019 - 00Z Sat Oct 26 2019

For the next few days mostly agreeable and consistent guidance
shows moderate to brisk trades, with occasional variation in
strength, turning east-southeasterly as high pressure initially to
the north-northeast of the state settles into the eastern Pacific.
 Generally light to perhaps locally moderate showers will favor
windward areas though rain could stray to other locations once in
a while.  Modest enhancement of shower activity may occur during
the weekend and into Monday as a pocket of higher precipitable
water crosses the area.  Heavier rainfall associated with this
moisture should remain to the south of the Big Island though. 
Trades may weaken somewhat during the latter half of next week as
a front approaches from the northwest.  Compared to the full range
of guidance, the 00Z CMC and 06Z GFS become more amplified with
the supporting upper trough by Thursday-Friday.  As a result those
solutions may push the front a little too far southeastward at
that time.  

Rausch