Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
242 AM EST Sat Feb 01 2020

Valid 00Z Sun Feb 02 2020 - 00Z Sun Feb 09 2020

An upper level low sliding northeast of the state will continue to
bring increased showers through the weekend to parts of the
Hawaiian islands. Normal trade winds should also resume this
weekend as surface high pressure builds well to the north and
northeast of Hawaii and persists into the first half of the week.
Trades should shift to the southeast ahead of another upper low
diving southward towards the state. There is good model agreement
that this trough/low will drive a cold front across the islands
next Wednesday into Thursday. Both the GFS and ECMWF indicate
moisture will increase ahead of the front, resulting in scattered
to widespread showers and a couple of thunderstorms. Conditions
should dry out following the frontal passage, but gusty northerly
winds will continue into next weekend.

Santorelli