Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 328 AM EDT Tue Apr 21 2020 Valid 00Z Wed Apr 22 2020 - 00Z Wed Apr 29 2020 Today's models and ensembles agree well for the pattern through next Tuesday. Flow around the far southwestern periphery of eastern Pacific high pressure will initially support southeasterly winds over the Big Island and lighter background flow over the rest of the state where sea and land breezes may help to focus shower activity. Guidance shows more typical trade flow becoming established after midweek as sufficient high pressure builds north of the state, with moderate to brisk trades and windward shower focus continuing through the first half of next week. Continue to expect precipitable water values generally within a standard deviation of climatology through the period and thus fairly light rainfall totals. Latest solutions are consistent in showing a front remaining stalled northwest of the main islands for a time before weakening/returning westward as the trades become established. Meanwhile the GFS/CMC have finally trended weaker to other guidance with any weak shortwave energy aloft that could settle over the region late this week/weekend after the passage of an upper trough to the northwest/north of the state. Rausch