Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
343 AM EDT Wed Jul 01 2020

Valid 00Z Thu Jul 02 2020 - 00Z Thu Jul 09 2020

Today's guidance offers little change in the forecast, with a
trade wind pattern providing the best shower focus to
windward/mountain areas and a little rainfall straying to other
locations at times.  Consensus shows moderate to brisk trades as
of midweek trending somewhat lighter during the latter half of the
week, followed by a trend back toward moderate/brisk strength
during the first half of next week as high pressure well north of
the state expands southward/southwestward.  While differences
persist for the specifics there is decent agreement in principle
for rainfall to increase somewhat in the Friday-Sunday period as
an area of higher precipitable water values crosses the region. 
Then showers will likely trend somewhat lighter during the first
half of the week as drier air moves in.  Models/means still
advertise an upper weakness over the area early next week but
suggest this will have less of an influence on rainfall than the
decrease in moisture.  Then heights aloft should gradually rise by
midweek.

Rausch