Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
353 AM EDT Fri Oct 09 2020

Valid 00Z Sat Oct 10 2020 - 00Z Sat Oct 17 2020

Through the end of the week, somewhat drier conditions than normal
are forecast as the southwestern edge of the subtropical high
pushes into the state. However, early next week there are
indications that moisture should increase to modestly above normal
as a surface trough moves across, remnants of former Marie. The
mid/upper-level pattern shows potential for troughing to the north
of the state around Monday going forward. GEFS ensemble members
are favoring this troughing coming southward early more than other
guidance. This pattern could particularly influence the
northwestern islands and provide support for heavier showers
there. Moisture (precipitable water) values should remain
generally around normal though. Otherwise, light precipitation
across favored terrain can be expected. The larger scale upper
trough may push a cold front toward the state late in the week,
but may stay north--this will continue to be monitored.

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