Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 256 AM EST Mon Dec 28 2020 Valid 00Z Tue Dec 29 2020 - 00Z Tue Jan 5 2021 A favored model and ensemble composite of reasonably well clustered guidance indicates that the Trades should gradually weaken through midweek in a relatively drier pattern, with the high pressure ridge moving farther east and thus less of a pressure gradient. There remains an emerging guidance signal later week and next weekend for an approaching front to stall and then weaken in the general vicinity of the western islands as the parent surface low lifts northward across the North Pacific. Meanwhile, the Trades should gradually increase some as high pressure builds to the north of the state, and focuses some showers over windward terrain. Hamrick