Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
243 AM EST Thu Feb 11 2021

Valid 00Z Fri Feb 12 2021 - 00Z Fri Feb 19 2021

Mostly clear conditions across Hawaii will gradually give way to
increasing moisture level coming in from the east during the next
couple of days.  There continues to be very good model agreement
for an upper low to continue developing east of Hawaii and
retrograde toward or passing to the south the state later in the
weekend and into early next week.  The associated moisture should
bring an increasing chance of showers from east to west across
Hawaii each day next week.  Meanwhile, the next cold front is
forecast approach the region from the northwest.  Models are
showing good agreement that the front will be near the western
islands by Wednesday.  There are model signals indicating heavier
rainfall developing near the western islands on Wednesday as the
front becomes nearly stationary and interacts with the moisture
associated with the retrograding upper low.

Kong