Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
321 AM EDT Tue Mar 23 2021

Valid 00Z Wed Mar 24 2021 - 00Z Wed Mar 31 2021

Trade winds should shift more southerly in advance of an
approaching cold front which appears to stall for a period of time
Wednesday into Thursday across the northern islands. Moisture will
be pulled northward ahead of the front resulting in increased rain
chances across much of Hawaii, with the best chance for any type
of enhanced rainfall near or along the front. Easterly and breezy
trades should return by late this week through next weekend while
the front gets dragged westward and weakens as the upper system
lifts to the north and east. General troughiness hangs on west of
Hawaii into next weekend though which keeps rain chances elevated
across the western islands. The guidance as a whole shows good
agreement on the overall setup for the next week, but continued
spread on the details. Therefore, the best approach would likely
be towards a consensus solution at this time.

Santorelli