Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
250 AM EST Sat Jan 29 2022

Valid 00Z Sun Jan 30 2022 - 00Z Sun Feb 06 2022

Winds should become light and shift out of the southeast on Sunday
ahead of an upper trough/surface front moving north of the state.
This may bring a possible slight increase for light showers across
the northernmost islands this weekend. Guidance continues to show
potential for an upper low to cut off from the trough around early
to mid next week, and weaken northeast of Hawaii by Thursday or
Friday. However, this feature appears to have little if any
influence on Hawaii in terms of precipitation due to below average
precipitable water values over much of the state well into next
week. This should keep much of the region quite dry over the next
week. Light and variable winds should continue across Hawaii for
several days as a couple of cold fronts pass well to the north. A
more typical trade wind pattern should return by next weekend
though as surface high pressure tries to build back in to the
northeast of the islands.

Santorelli