Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
230 AM EST Sat Feb 5 2022

Valid 00Z Sun Feb 6 2022 - 00Z Sun Feb 13 2022

The western edge of the mid-latitude high will be situated north
of Hawaii with a col in the ridge over the northwestern most
Islands.  Multiple storm systems passing across the North Pacific
will result in cold fronts getting close to the western Islands,
but not likely making more southeastward progress based on the
latest GEFS/ECENS ensemble means.  Meanwhile, a broad upper level
trough is likely to develop east of the Big Island early next
week, and this feature should gradually track east and away from
the state.

In terms of sensible weather, expect generally east-northeast
trades on the order of 15-25 mph through about mid-week, except
more of a southeasterly component from Maui and points
northwestward where there will be more inflow towards the stalling
fronts.  The pressure gradient relaxes some by the end of the week
and winds become a bit lighter overall.  Rainfall chances will
likely be a little higher on Monday with the proximity of the
upper trough, but most other days should have the typical trade
wind enhanced showers.

Hamrick