Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
303 AM EST Thu Mar 03 2022

Valid 00Z Fri Mar 04 2022 - 00Z Fri Mar 11 2022

A developing subtropical occluded cyclone is currently lifting
further away well north of Hawaii.  Showers associated with the
trailing cold front are moving away to the east of the Big Island.
  Relatively weak trade winds will resume with typical
terrain-enhanced localized showers through the end of this week. 
A cold front dipping toward Hawaii early next week will likely
shift wind directions to more east-southeast.  The ECMWF brings an
increasing chance of heavy showers for the northwestern portion of
the island chain by Tuesday with the passage of the front.  On the
other hand, the GFS only increases the chance of rain there
slightly.  Thereafter, the ECMWF keeps a decent amount of moisture
across the western islands as the front becomes stationary and
weakens with time.  This is in contrast with the drier GFS given a
less-defined front moving through Hawaii into midweek next week.

Kong