Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
314 AM EST Sat Mar 05 2022

Valid 00Z Sun Mar 06 2022 - 00Z Sun Mar 13 2022

Weak trades with terrain-enhanced localized showers should resume
this weekend as an occluded subtropical cyclone lifts well to the
northeast and its trailing cold front drags east of Hawaii. By
Monday, models show another closed low developing to the north,
which could bring a cold front towards the western islands early
next week and another disruption to the trades. The guidance
however keeps the bulk of the precipitation north of Hawaii,
though some showers may clip Oahu and Kauai. This low should
weaken and lift north by the middle of next week with ridging and
zonal flow building back in over Hawaii. Moderate to breezy trade
winds will return and last through at least next Saturday with the
stable conditions expected and typical local showers for windward
locations.

Santorelli