Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
339 AM EDT Sat May 07 2022

Valid 00Z Sun May 08 2022 - 00Z Sun May 15 2022

Guidance continues to agree upon fairly brisk trades with some
day-to-day fluctuations through next week with high pressure to
the northeast of the state, while windward/mountain focused
showers (perhaps straying elsewhere at times) tend to be in the
lighter half of the spectrum.  Trades may weaken a bit during
early next week, rebound slightly around Wednesday-Thursday, and
then trend a little lighter again toward the end of the week.  An
upper low initially west of the state and impulses on its east
side will lift northeastward this weekend, beginning a drier trend
that should see precipitable water values settle to near normal
for a majority of next week.  There is the possibility that the
remains of a front could bring a modest band of moisture into the
area from the northeast around Tuesday but the 00Z ECMWF and 00Z
GEFS/12Z ECMWF means suggest this band may dissipate to a greater
degree than forecast by the GFS.

Rausch