Model Diagnostic Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
147 AM EDT Fri Aug 24 2018

Valid Aug 24/0000 UTC thru Aug 27/1200 UTC

...See NOUS42 KWNO (ADMNFD) for the status of the upper air
ingest...

00Z Model Evaluation...with Preferences and Confidence
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...Overall Synoptic Pattern across the CONUS...
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Preference: General model blend
Confidence: Average

For most of the larger scale systems, the 00z deterministic models
and 12z ECMWF are in generally good agreement -- supporting the
use of a general model compromise for most systems.  The primary
exception is the upper trough over the northern-central Rockies
and High Plains Sun-Mon.  The 12z ECMWF is the most significant
outlier here -- showing a more progressive trough moving from the
northern Rockies into the High Plains Mon morning.  Consensus of
the 00z deterministic models and the GEFS Mean is slower, with the
trough axis much further west back across the northern Rockies Mon
morning.

Model trends at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/model2.shtml
500 mb forecasts at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/h5pref/h5pref.shtml

Pereira