Model Diagnostic Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
238 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

Valid Sep 14/1200 UTC thru Sep 18/0000 UTC

...See NOUS42 KWNO (ADMNFD) for the status of the upper air
ingest...

12z Model preferences with confidence intervals
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Any NAM/GFS initialization errors present do not seem to degrade
their short range forecasts.


Lower 48 & Vicinity
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
The guidance shows good agreement with these systems, including
Florence.  A compromise/blend of the 12z GFS, 12z NAM, 12z
Canadian, 12z UKMET, and 12z ECMWF is advised with above average
confidence.  See NHC advisories/discussions for the latest
forecast track and thoughts concerning Florence.


Model trends at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/model2.shtml
500 mb forecasts at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/h5pref/h5pref.shtml

Roth