Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
300 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2026

Valid 12Z Sun Nov 08 2026 - 12Z Tue Nov 10 2026

...Heavy rainfall threat peaks across southern Texas today into
Monday morning...

...Periods of showers and gusty winds for the Pacific Northwest
over the next few days...

...Seasonably mild to warm temperatures for most of the country but
morning frost/freeze across the Ohio Valley to Mid-South...

A relatively compact upper-level low interacting with lower-level 
moisture from the Gulf is triggering numerous showers and
thunderstorms early this morning from the Rio Grande Valley to
central Texas. The greatest threat of heavy rainfall associated
with thunderstorm clusters is expected to focus across southern
Texas for today through tonight before gradually lessening during
the day on Monday. WPC continues to highlight a Slight Risk of
Excessive Rainfall (level 2/4) for southern Texas where rainfall
totals of several inches will raise the threat of scattered flash
flooding. Additional but less heavy showers are expected to linger
into Tuesday morning.

Across New England, scattered showers on the back side of a
developing low pressure system will swing across the region today.
The higher elevation of interior northern New England could see wet
snow mixing in with the rain. Maine will be the last to clear out
from the chilly rain as the system exits into the Canadian
Maritimes late today. However, another clipper system across
southern Canada will quickly bring the next round of showers across
the Great Lakes today, reaching into upstate New York and interior
New England by this evening. Some more showers are expected to pop
up on Monday across upstate New York and interior New England
before the upper low moves away Monday night.

Meanwhile, a couple of strong Pacific cyclones will bring rounds
of moderate rain and some higher elevation mountain snow into the
Pacific Northwest. The first system has already made landfall early
this morning. The associated line of showers will taper off to
light rain later today, followed by mostly dry weather on Monday,
before the next round of unsettled weather arrives later on Monday
into Monday night. Some very gusty winds will also be possible,
particularly along the coast and higher elevations in the Pacific
Northwest. In addition, very gusty downslope winds are forecast
for northern Montana for today.

Otherwise, most of the country will see dry conditions with
seasonably mild to warm temperatures through the remainder of the
weekend and into early next week under the influence of a high
pressure system. High temperatures will generally be 5-15 degrees
above average, with 50s and 60s along the northern tier and 60s to
70s along the southern tier. Some of the greatest anomalies will be
in place across the northern High Plains southeast into the
Missouri Valley as highs reach well into the 60s to low 70s, and
across southern California as highs climb well into the 80s. In
contrast, chilly mornings with lows around freezing are expected
across the Mid- South to Ohio/Tennessee Valleys where Frost/Freeze-
related advisories are in place. One location that will run
relatively cooler and below average will be across southern/western
Texas and into portions of the Southwest with the passage of the
upper-wave due to widespread clouds and precipitation. Highs will
be mostly in the lower to mid-60s with some locations only rising
into the 50s.


Kong/Putnam


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php






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