Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
319 PM EDT Sun Mar 22 2026

Valid 00Z Mon Mar 23 2026 - 00Z Wed Mar 25 2026

...Snow for parts of the Northeast...

...There is an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of severe thunderstorms
over parts of the Ohio Valley to the northern Mid-Atlantic on
Sunday...

...There is a marginal Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of
the Ohio Valley to the northern Mid-Atlantic on Sunday...

A front extending from the Northeast to the Southern Plains will
move eastward off the Mid-Atlantic coast by Monday while lingering
over the Southern Tier States through Tuesday. The storm will
produce light snow over parts of the Northeast, with isolated
pockets of rain/freezing rain over northern Mid-Atlantic overnight
Sunday. As the front sags southward, showers and severe
thunderstorms will develop over the Ohio Valley and the northern
Mid-Atlantic on Sunday. Therefore, the SPC has issued an Enhanced
Risk (level 3/5) of severe thunderstorms over the Ohio Valley to
the northern Mid-Atlantic through Monday morning.  The hazards
associated with these thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe
thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes. In addition,
there is a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the
Ohio Valley to the northern Mid-Atlantic on Sunday. Therefore, the
WPC has issued a Marginal Risk (level 1/4) of excessive rainfall
over parts of the Ohio Valley to the northern Mid-Atlantic through
Monday morning.  The associated heavy rain will create localized
areas of flash flooding, affecting areas that experience rapid
runoff with heavy rain. On Monday, rain will develop over parts of
the Mid-Atlantic and move into the Southeast on Tuesday.

Meanwhile, upper-level energy will trigger light rain over parts
of the Northwest late on Monday. By Tuesday morning, an
approaching front over the Pacific will trigger rain across the
Northwest, which will expand inland into the northern
Intermountain Region and the Northern High Plains by Tuesday.


Ziegenfelder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php