•Day 4 (Thu, Mar 1)
•ECMWF
ensembles not available
•Models starting
to converge on development of major cyclone off mid-Atlantic coast (decreasing
uncertainty)
•HPC
– potential for very serious coastal storm for March 4 & 5, including heavy
snow & beach erosion
•Day 3 (Fri, Mar 2)
•Some model
runs differ from AVN/MRF on many details of east coast storm
•Despite
decreasing uncertainty, significant uncertainty remained
•HPC –
potential for a blizzard with 2 feet of snow
•Major pending
west coast rain/snow storm
•NOAA press
release
The evolving model and
forecaster perspective (cont.)
forecaster perspective (cont.)