•Day 2 (Sat, Mar 3)
•Major increase in model forecast consistency
•Model development of the storm slowed
•HPC – high confidence for possible blizzard conditions in
mid-Atlantic and the Northeast
•HPC – decreased likelihood of major snow event for DC to NY
•NOAA press conference
•
•Day 1 (Sun, Mar 4)
•Good model agreement
•Storm forms off the coast of North Carolina
The evolving model and
forecaster perspective (cont.)