•Very busy forecast period with heavy rains in the SE preceding the Nor’easter, plus major rain event in southern CA.
•Events handled well overall, except for east coast megaopolis.
•Difficult forecast situation:  split flow / blocking
•Models indicated east coast storm a week ahead
•Given uncertainty in model guidance, very good consistency in HPC storm forecasts day-to-day
•Forecast uncertainty apparent in the model runs and mentioned in HPC narrative products
•Uncertainty not well perceived by the public
•Accuracy of precipitation forecasting has improved significantly, but still much room for improvement
•Public expectations increasing faster than forecast accuracy
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Concluding remarks