The March 2001 East Coast Storm
The evolving model and
forecaster perspectives
The evolving model and
forecaster perspective (cont.)
The evolving model and
forecaster perspective (cont.)
Day 7
from
Monday,
Feb 26, 2001
Day 6
from
Tuesday,
Feb 27, 2001
Day 5
from,
Wednesday,
Feb 28, 2001
Day 4
from
Thursday,
Mar 1, 2001
Day 3
from
Friday,
Mar 2, 2001
Day 2
from
Saturday,
Mar 3, 2001
Day 1
from
Sunday,
Mar 4, 2001
Uncertainty & current
forecast accuracy
(HPC QPF verification -- 1-inch threat score)
HPC’s Role &
Communicating Uncertainty
HPC’s Role &
Communicating Uncertainty
HPC’s Extended Forecast
Discussion
(released Mar 2, 2001, at 3:38 p.m.)
HPC’s Extended Forecast
Discussion
(continued)