Concluding remarks
	• Very busy forecast period with heavy rains in the SE preceding the Nor’easter, plus major rain event in southern CA. • Events handled well overall, except for east coast megaopolis. • Difficult forecast situation:  split flow / blocking • Models indicated east coast storm a week ahead • Given uncertainty in model guidance, very good consistency in HPC storm forecasts day-to-day • Forecast uncertainty apparent in the model runs and mentioned in HPC narrative products • Uncertainty not well perceived by the public • Accuracy of precipitation forecasting has improved significantly, but still much room for improvement • Public expectations increasing faster than forecast accuracy