| Forecast
Hints |
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| • | During
the Winter Months |
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| – | Convective
activity over the Gulf of Mexico and gulf |
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| coast
of Mexico tends to be capped below 500 hPa |
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| (20,000
ft) |
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| • | Evaluate
upper dynamics for CONVERGENCE or |
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| DIVERGENCE
before forecasting thunderstorms. |
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| – | If
models forecast post frontal northerlies of 25Kt or |
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| greater,
and dew point temperature of 20C (68F) or |
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| greater
over southern Mexico. |
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| • | Forecast
12 hrs rainfall accumulation of at least 2-4 inches. |
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