Introduction to QPF

MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICAL METHODS THAT CAN BE USED TO DEVELOP PROBABILITIES

•LINEAR REGRESSION (MDL MOS)

•LOGISTIC REGRESSION (NON LINEAR) USES SAME TYPE OF FUNCTIONAL RELATIONSHIPS AS NEURAL NETWORKS BUT HAS NO HIDDEN LAYERS

•DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS

•NEURAL NETWORKS (NON LINEAR)

•CLASSIFIER SYSTEM (IF THEN STATEMENTS, SURVIVAL OF THE FITTEST)

From Applequist et al., 2001, Wea. Forecasting, 17, 783-799