SUMMERTIME QPF IN THE WEST AND ALONG THE FRONT RANGE INVOLVES

• DETERMINING WHETHER CONDITIONS WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO HEAVY RAINS

• IS STRONGLY RELATED TO THE MONSOON SEASON

• THE SCALE IS USUALLY TOO SMALL TO ALLOW A FORECAST TO REALISTICALLY PREDICT THE EXACT LOCATION WITH MUCH LEAD TIME.

• THE SCALE ARGUES FOR A PROBABILISTIC APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM

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