THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 1 FOR SOUTH CENTRAL U.S. ICE STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
900 PM CST THU DEC 5 2013

...MAJOR ICE STORM ALONG WITH SLEET AND SNOW IS DEVELOPING OVER A
WIDE AREA FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE OHIO VALLEY...

WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
TO WESTERN OHIO.  ICE STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA TO WESTERN TENNESSEE.  WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO SOUTHERN NEW
YORK, AND ALSO FOR CENTRAL TEXAS AND INTO PARTS OF MISSISSIPPI AND
TENNESSEE.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 900 PM CST...THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS IS SHOWING A VERY
STRONG COLD FRONT SINKING SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHERN MEXICO AND
SLOWLY MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE GULF COAST STATES.  A
1006 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR EL PASO AND A 1012 MB LOW OVER EXTREME
SOUTHEAST TEXAS ARE CURRENTLY SITUATED ALONG THE FRONT.  A
DRAMATIC TEMPERATURE CONTRAST EXISTS ACROSS THE BOUNDARY.  A BROAD
SWATH OF MODERATE PRECIPITATION IS EVIDENT ON RADAR FROM NORTHERN
TEXAS TO THE OHIO VALLEY, WITH EMBEDDED POCKETS OF HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION.  THIS IS IN THE FORM OF SNOW ON THE NORTHERN EDGE,
TRANSITIONING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FARTHER SOUTH.  THIS AREA
OF PRECIPITATION IS DISPLACED ABOUT 300 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE
SURFACE FRONT. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 500 AM CST THU DEC
5 THROUGH 900 PM CST THU DEC 5...

...MISSOURI...
AVA                                   4.0                    
MANSFIELD                             4.0                    
NIANGUA                               4.0                    
SPRINGFIELD 3 S                       4.0                    
GALLOWAY 2 W                          3.5                    
ASH GROVE 4 S                         3.0                    
BRADLEYVILLE 1 N                      3.0                    
CASSVILLE 4 SE                        3.0                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET IN INCHES FROM 500 AM CST THU DEC 5
THROUGH 900 PM CST THU DEC 5...

...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON                              2.00                    
HUNTSVILLE 4 S                        0.75                    
SAINT PAUL                            0.75                    
LESLIE 11 SW                          0.30                    

...MISSOURI...
WHITE CHURCH                          1.50                    

...OKLAHOMA...
MUSKOGEE                              3.00                    

...TEXAS...
GAINESVILLE                           0.50                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
500 AM CST THU DEC 5 THROUGH 900 PM CST THU DEC 5...

...ARKANSAS...
GREENWOOD                             0.50                    
FORT SMITH                            0.25                    
JETHRO                                0.25                    

...TEXAS...
DECATUR 3 SSW                         0.20                    


A SERIOUS WINTER WEATHER EVENT IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND
EXTENDING THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY AS BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR
CONTINUES TO FLOW TO THE SOUTH AND EAST.  THIS COLD AIR WILL
UNDERCUT MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT, CREATING THE PERFECT
SET-UP FOR A SEVERE ICING EVENT.  ELEVATED INSTABILITY ABOVE THE
SURFACE LAYER MAY RESULT IN CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION, INCLUDING
ISOLATED THUNDER AND LIGHTNING.  ICE ACCUMULATIONS ON THE ORDER OF
A QUARTER INCH TO ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE ARKLATEX
REGION, MUCH OF ARKANSAS, AND INTO WESTERN TENNESSEE.  SNOW AND
SLEET IS LIKELY ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS AREA OF
PRECIPITATION, WITH AMOUNTS UP TO EIGHT INCHES POSSIBLE FROM
SOUTHERN MISSOURI TO CENTRAL OHIO.  SOUTH OF THE 32-DEGREE LINE, A
COLD RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS UP TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 300 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

HAMRICK




Last Updated: 944 PM EST THU DEC 05 2013