THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 01 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS TO NORTHEAST U.S.
WINTER STORM AND HEAVY RAIN
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
900 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...EXPANSIVE STORM SYSTEM BRINGING WINTER WEATHER...FLASH FLOODING
AND THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER TO A LARGE PORTION OF THE
NATION...       

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
FOR A LARGE AREA INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS...MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...UPPER MIDWEST...GREAT
LAKES AND THE NORTHEAST.

ICE STORM WARNINGS AND FREEZING RAIN ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY...LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND THE NORTHEAST.

HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR A SMALL AREA OF WEST
TEXAS...WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF
WEST TEXAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY...TENNESSEE VALLEY...OHIO VALLEY AND THE SOUTHEAST.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT IN A BAND
EXTENDING FROM NORTHEASTERN TEXAS THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY
INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 800 AM CST...A STRONG COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS...MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD. THERE WERE SEVERAL WAVES OF LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE FRONT. ONE SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL
ARKANSAS WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME WESTERN OHIO
WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. A THIRD LOW
PRESSURE AREA WAS LOCATED ALONG THE FRONT OVER WESTERN NEW YORK
STATE WITH A PRESSURE OF 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. THE COMBINATION
OF THESE WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE AND THE ATMOSPHERIC LIFT OCCURRING
ACROSS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS LEADING TO A LARGE AREA OF
PRECIPITATION EXTENDING FROM TEXAS TO NEW YORK STATE. NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN FALLING FROM NEAR THE RED RIVER NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN
WERE ALSO OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF UPSTATE NEW YORK. ON THE
WARM SIDE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE
OCCURRING. WITH RAIN FALLING OVER A LARGE AREA FROM THE TEXAS GULF
COAST NORTHWARD INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES.
HEAVY RAIN WAS REPORTED AT TIMES IN THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CST FRI DEC
20 THROUGH 800 AM CST SAT DEC 21...

...ARKANSAS...
JONES MILL                            3.82                    
MALVERN 6.5 NNW                       3.74                    
LITTLE ROCK 4.2 NW                    3.37                    
SHERWOOD 1.8 NNW                      3.37                    
CATO 3 SSE                            3.36                    
CARLISLE 3.3 W                        3.14                    
GRIFFITHVILLE 0.1 ENE                 3.00                    
BENTON 4.7 NNE                        2.99                    
MAUMELLE 0.8 SE                       2.87                    
HASTY                                 2.77                    
BASS 4 N                              2.75                    
GEORGETOWN                            2.56                    
BLYTHEVILLE AIRPORT                   2.15                    
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD              1.62                    

...ILLINOIS...
PLUMFIELD                             3.79                    
BUSH 2 ESE                            3.78                    
MURPHYSBORO                           3.52                    
BELKNAP 11.1 ESE                      3.37                    
OLMSTED                               2.58                    
CAIRO                                 2.15                    

...INDIANA...
VINCENNES 4 E                         2.85                    
NEW CASTLE 4.6 SSE                    2.80                    
INDIANAPOLIS 8.4 ESE                  2.49                    
EVANSVILLE                            2.41                    
BROOKLYN 0.5 ENE                      2.40                    
NEW PALESTINE 1.2 NW                  2.34                    
MOORESVILLE 6.1 SSE                   2.14                    
SULLIVAN 0.3 WSW                      2.10                    

...KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON 0.4 SSW                     2.18                    
CORYDON 4.3 NE                        2.03                    

...MISSOURI...
POPLAR BLUFF 7 NW                     3.98                    
AVA 13.6 SSE                          2.53                    
ELLSINORE 4.8 WNW                     2.08                    

...TENNESSEE...
DYERSBURG MUNI ARPT                   1.91                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET IN INCHES FROM 700 AM CST FRI DEC 20
THROUGH 800 AM CST SAT DEC 21...

...KANSAS...
SEDAN                                 0.50                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
700 AM CST FRI DEC 20 THROUGH 800 AM CST SAT DEC 21...

...ARKANSAS...
SILOAM SPRINGS                        0.10                    

...IOWA...
CEDAR RAPIDS 1 SSE                    0.10                    

...ILLINOIS...
DEER GROVE 3 WNW                      0.10                    
MACKINAW                              0.10                    

...KANSAS...
CHAUTAUQUA                            0.40                    
COLUMBUS 7 W                          0.25                    
DEVON                                 0.20                    
PITTSBURGH                            0.20                    
HOWARD 5 W                            0.12                    
WINFIELD 3 NE                         0.10                    

...MICHIGAN...
GREENVILLE                            0.25                    

...MISSOURI...
VERONA                                0.30                    
JOPLIN                                0.25                    
REPUBLIC                              0.25                    
SARCOXIE 1 W                          0.25                    
SPRINGFIELD 4 WNW                     0.25                    
ASH GROVE                             0.20                    
BOONVILLE 11 E                        0.10                    
MEXICO                                0.10                    
OWENSVILLE                            0.10                    

...OKLAHOMA...
TIAWAH 2 SW                           0.50                    
WHITE OAK                             0.50                    
OWASSO                                0.40                    
TULSA 5 ESE                           0.37                    
COLLINSVILLE 2 SE                     0.25                    
VINSON 10 NW                          0.12                    
GLENPOOL                              0.10                    

...TEXAS...
ELECTRA                               0.12                    


THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY LATER
TODAY FROM THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY...RESULTING IN A LONGER PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION FOR THOSE
REGIONS. BY LATER TODAY...AS UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY MOVES FROM WESTERN
TEXAS AND NEW MEXICO EASTWARD INTO THE PLAINS...A SURFACE LOW OVER
ARKANSAS IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN AND BECOME THE PRIMARY SURFACE LOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM. AS ABUNDANT WARM AND UNSTABLE
AIR STREAMS NORTHWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI...TENNESSEE..AND
OHIO VALLEYS TODAY...THE THREATS OF FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE
WEATHER WILL INCREASE. FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE SEVERE WEATHER
ASPECT OF THIS EVENT...PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...AS WELL AS BY YOUR LOCAL NWS FORECAST
OFFICE. THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN WILL BE COMMON FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THUNDERSTORMS...AND FLASH FLOODING IS A
SIGNIFICANT THREAT. ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE STORM
SYSTEM...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH
WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE
MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. HEAVIER ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN
INCH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST...FROM NORTHERN
NEW YORK AND VERMONT EASTWARD TO MAINE. IN ADDITION...AS COLDER
AIR CONTINUES TO ADVANCE...SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE
TO SNOW LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8
INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES.

BY SUNDAY MORNING THE SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD
TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES...BRINGING AN END TO PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. AS THE FRONT MOVES EASTWARD...ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
U.S. THE WINTER WEATHER EVENT WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY ACROSS AREAS
FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE NORTHEAST.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 300 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

RYAN




Last Updated: 950 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2013