THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 10 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO INUNDATE THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... 

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLOOD WARNINGS...AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS
REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN TEXAS AND NORTHWARD ALONG AND WEST
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN
KENTUCKY.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 PM CST...AN ANOMALOUSLY LARGE AND DEEP UPPER-LEVEL LOW
LOCATED IN CENTRAL MEXICO CONTINUED TO SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD TEXAS
AND THE GULF OF MEXICO. TO THE EAST OF THIS LOW...A BROAD STREAM
OF MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR CONTINUED TO PUSH NORTHWARD FROM THE
GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT MOVED
OFF THE TEXAS COAST WHERE A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OF 1008 MB...29.76
INCHES...WAS LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF
GALVESTON...TEXAS...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. THE COLD FRONT WAS ALSO EXTENDING NORTH OF THE LOW ALONG
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED
TO ORGANIZE ACROSS EASTERN LOUISIANA...WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...AND
SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN CONTINUED TO SPREAD
FARTHER INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS...IN ADDITION TO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND INTO THE MIDWEST...OHIO VALLEY...AND THE
NORTHEAST. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 600 AM CST MON MAR
07 THROUGH 200 PM CST THU MAR 10...

...ARKANSAS...
HAMBURG S                            13.50                    
EUDORA S                             12.80                    
CROSSETT 2 SE                        12.30                    
DERMOTT 4 NE                         10.90                    
SEARCY MUNI AIRPORT                  10.84                    
MONTICELLO ARPT                       7.71                    
PINE BLUFF/GRIDER FIELD               7.60                    
STUTTGART MUNI ARPT                   7.38                    
BRADLEY 7.8 W                         6.36                    
MARVELL 4.1 W                         5.72                    
MARIANNA 3.1 WNW                      5.65                    
MCNEIL 1.4 E                          5.60                    
LITTLE ROCK/ADAMS FIELD               5.38                    
TEXARKANA RGNL ARPT                   5.19                    
WALDO 4.2 S                           4.82                    
EL DORADO/GOODWIN FIELD               4.71                    
MONTICELLO 1.6 WNW                    4.63                    
BLYTHEVILLE ARPT                      4.05                    
MOUNT IDA                             3.83                    
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD              2.29                    
BENTONVILLE                           1.51                    

...ILLINOIS...
CAIRO                                 2.19                    

...INDIANA...
EVANSVILLE 6 W                        1.20                    

...KENTUCKY...
BENTON                                3.25                    
GOLDEN POND                           2.73                    
PADUCAH/BARKLEY                       2.63                    
PROVIDENCE                            2.15                    
CANTON                                2.03                    
SEDALIA                               2.00                    
OWENSBORO/DAVIESS CO. ARPT            1.98                    
HENDERSON CITY                        1.95                    
FORT CAMPBELL AAF                     1.70                    
LEWISPORT 2.8 E                       1.68                    
CORYDON 4.3 NE                        1.59                    

...LOUISIANA...
MONROE 2 NNW                         20.90                    
SWARTZ                               19.00                    
BARKSDALE AFB/BOSSIER CITY           18.02                    
RAYVILLE 2 NNE                       14.90                    
BOSSIER CITY 7 SE                    14.40                    
MINDEN 2.0 NE                        12.16                    
NATTCHITOCHE  REGIONAL AIRPORT       12.14                    
SIMSBORO 1 WNW                       11.20                    
JAMESTOWN                            10.70                    
SHREVEPORT RGNL ARPT                 10.41                    
BIENVILLE 0.5 S                       9.62                    
HOMER 1.2 N                           9.42                    
PLEASANT HILL 10.2 SE                 9.41                    
DELTA COMMUNITY COLLEGE               9.25                    
LAKE PROVIDENCE                       7.56                    
ALEXANRIA/ESLER                       7.06                    
BARKSDALE AFB                         5.00                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
GREENVILLE MUNI ARPT                 10.58                    
LELAND 3 ENE                          7.52                    
CLEVELAND                             7.08                    
CLARKESDALE 2.9 W                     6.86                    
SENATOBIA 1.5 S                       5.49                    
BYHALIA 5.0 ENE                       4.85                    
BATESVILLE 2.2 SSE                    3.71                    
VICKSBURG 2.2 NE                      3.19                    
GRENADA 7.9 NNW                       2.70                    
INDIANOLA 1.1 N                       2.69                    
VICKSBURG/TALLULAH ARPT               2.65                    

...OKLAHOMA...
POTEAU/ROBERT S KERR ARPT             2.54                    
ADA 0.3 NNW                           2.38                    
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                       2.36                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT               1.70                    
TULSA INTL ARPT                       1.47                    

...TENNESSEE...
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT                     7.31                    
COLLIERVILLE 1.2 E                    5.00                    
JACKSON 4.7 NW                        4.44                    
GADSDEN 4.9 SSE                       4.24                    
UNION CITY                            4.00                    
ATWOOD 0.8 WSW                        3.97                    
STANTON 8.8 E                         3.90                    
BARTLETT 0.9 NE                       3.86                    
SOMERVILLE 1.7 N                      3.85                    
ATOKA 3.2 ESE                         3.57                    
DYERSBURG MUNI ARPT                   2.73                    

...TEXAS...
LONGVIEW/GREGG CO. ARPT               9.02                    
KIRBYVILLE 1.5 SE                     9.01                    
LONGVIEW                              8.60                    
NESBITT 4 NW                          7.87                    
MAGNOLIA 2.8 S                        7.68                    
PARADISE 6.6 SW                       7.35                    
ZAVALLA 8.4 W                         7.18                    
MINERAL WELLS                         7.03                    
PINELAND 5 E                          6.70                    
MARSHALL 9.7 SE                       6.43                    
MURCHINSON 4 S                        6.34                    
BIG SANDY                             6.24                    
MINERAL WELLS 1 SSW                   6.03                    
BEN WHEELER 3.9 ESE                   6.00                    
DECATUR 4 W                           5.81                    
GALVESTON 6.4 NE                      5.09                    
CORPUS CHRISTI INTL ARPT              4.65                    
ARLINGTON MUNI ARPT                   2.27                    
DALLAS/LOVE FIELD                     2.27                    
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                 2.27                    
BROWNSVILLE INTL ARPT                 2.18                    


THE LARGE AND ANOMALOUS UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO IS
EXPECTED TO DRIFT VERY SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL MEXICO
TOWARD SOUTHERN TEXAS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS A WELL-DEFINED
FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE NEAR EAST TEXAS AND INTO THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A CONTINUOUS FLOW OF WARM AND MOIST
UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL BE LIFTED ALONG THE
FRONT AND RESULT IN HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE SAME GENERAL AREA FROM
THE WESTERN TO CENTRAL GULF COAST NORTHWARD INTO THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE FOCUS OF HEAVY
RAIN TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT WILL FOCUS OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI WHERE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS EXPECTED. BY FRIDAY
EVENING AND INTO SATURDAY...ANOTHER SURGE OF MOISTURE IS FORECAST
TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS THE LOUISIANA COAST WHERE AN ADDITIONAL 2
TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS FORECAST. TOTAL ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING COULD EXCEED 10 INCHES IN SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA. FARTHER TO THE NORTH AND EAST...PROGRESSIVELY LESSER
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND FURTHER UP INTO
NEW ENGLAND. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT AS RAINFALL CONTINUES
TO FALL OVER ALREADY DELUGED AREAS. 

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

FANNING




Last Updated: 353 PM EST THU MAR 10 2016