THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 02 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAVY RAINFALL
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

...HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... 

FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN
TEXAS...SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...ARKANSAS...AND WESTERN LOUISIANA

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 PM CST...A SURFACE LOW WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 997
MB...29.44 INCHES...WAS LOCATED ABOUT 25 MILES EAST OF FARGO NORTH
DAKOTA. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE
PLAINS BEFORE BECOMING STATIONARY OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW AN
AREA OF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING WESTERN
OKLAHOMA...EASTERN TEXAS...WESTERN ARKANSAS...AND LOUISIANA. MORE
SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED FURTHER EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. 

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 600 AM CST MON MAR
07 THROUGH 200 PM CST TUE MAR 08...

...OKLAHOMA...
ADA 0.3 NNW                           2.38                    
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                       2.36                    

...TEXAS...
MINERAL WELLS 1 SSW                   6.03                    
BOONEVILLE                            5.36                    
PARADISE                              5.21                    
GARRETT CREEK RANCH                   5.13                    
RUNAWAY BAY 0.7 SSW                   4.46                    
SPRINGTOWN 6.0 NW                     4.17                    
SANGER 5.4 NW                         3.64                    
GRAFORD 8.1 ENE                       3.53                    
AGNES                                 3.15                    
SALT CREEK                            2.85                    
COTTONDALE                            2.59                    
WHITESBORO 2.8 W                      2.37                    
DALLAS/REDBIRD ARPT                   1.65                    


A LARGE AND ANOMALOUS UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL
SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. AT THE
SURFACE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LOW WILL
MOVE INTO WESTERN TEXAS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A WARM MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHERE THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER IS FORECASTING A SLIGHT TO ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. ADDITIONALLY FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY THE AXIS OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY EASTWARD EACH DAY WITH MANY OF THE
SAME AREAS RECEIVING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF COAST
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY ON
THURSDAY. THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE DAYS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL RESULT IN AN
INCREASING THREAT OF FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING THROUGH MID-WEEK.


THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 900 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

KREKELER




Last Updated: 347 PM EST TUE MAR 08 2016