THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD


STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE



STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 2 FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER OHIO AND
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM CST TUE MAR 27 2018

...A SLOW EASTWARD MOVING COLD FRONT WITH SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING
IN THE OZARKS PROVIDES AN IDEAL CORRIDOR FOR MOISTURE TRANSPORT
AND TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING
CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER
OHIO AND MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY... 

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS MUCH SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OK AND
SOUTHERN KY AND CENTRAL TN

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST
TX/NORTHWEST LA/EASTERN OK/WESTERN AR/SOUTHERN MO/SOUTH CENTRAL
IL/SOUTHWEST IND AND CENTRAL OHIO RIVER VALLEY

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 300 PM CST...A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS LOCATED IN THE EASTERN UPPER
PENINSULA OF MI WITH A NEWER SURFACE LOW WITHIN THE OZARKS OF
NORTHWEST AR WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1015 MB...OR 29.97 INCHES.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE OLDER LOW BISECTING THE LOWER
PENINSULA OF MI AND EXTENDS TO THE NEW LOW IN AR AND CONTINUED
ACROSS NORTHERN AND NORTHWEST TX. YESTERDAYS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ALSO
ACTS AS THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM THE ARKLATEX
VICINITY TOWARD DEL RIO TX. LOCAL WEATHER RADARS DEPICT A SHIELD
OF MODERATE RAINFALL ACROSS THE LOW OHIO RIVER VALLEY INTO THE
OZARKS AND ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA WITH LINE OF BROKEN BUT
OCCASIONALLY INTENSE RAINFALL PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
BOOTHEEL OF MO TO CENTRAL AR BEFORE BECOMING MORE BROKEN IN NATURE
ALONG THE REMAINING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.  

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 1200
AM CST SUN MAR 26 THROUGH 300 PM CST TUE MAR 27...

...ARKANSAS...
ROGERS/CARTER FIELD                   3.82                    
BENTONVILLE/LOUISE THADEN FIELD       3.78                    
DECATUR 2.6 ESE                       3.63                    
BELLA VISTA 2 E                       3.18                    
SILOAM SPRINGS/SMITH FIELD            3.09                    
NORTHWEST AR AIRPORT                  3.03                    
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD              2.82                    
PEA RIDGE 0.2 WSW                     2.18                    
LITTLE FLOCK 2 NNE                    1.96                    
VINEY GROVE 2.4 NW                    1.94                    
ROGERS 6.1 E                          1.92                    
BUSCH 0.4 E                           1.87                    

...ILLINOIS...
CARLYLE                               2.90                    
WATERLOO                              2.30                    
MASCOUTAH 1.5 SSE                     2.28                    
SCOTT AFB                             2.20                    
EFFINGHAM SE                          1.91                    
BELLEVILLE 2.2 SSE                    1.90                    
BARTELSO 0.2 NW                       1.83                    
STEELEVILLE 7 SSW                     1.83                    
EDWARDSVILLE 0.9 WSW                  1.68                    
CASEY                                 1.64                    

...INDIANA...
RILEY 0.3 NNW                         1.00                    

...KANSAS...
PITTSBURG COOP                        1.52                    

...MISSOURI...
MOBERLY 0.8 WSW                       5.99                    
MOBERLEY COOP                         5.43                    
HUNTSVILLE 5.6 SW                     4.93                    
GLASGOW .4 W                          4.57                    
MARSHALL 1.0 NNW                      4.15                    
BLACKBURN 3.7 E                       4.00                    
LADDONIA 6.8 N                        3.51                    
JAMES RIVER                           3.47                    
SHELL KNOB 6 W                        3.39                    
FREMONT HILLS 1 NW                    3.37                    
NORTHVIEW 2 NNE                       3.34                    
LINDEN 2NNE                           3.27                    
VANDALIA 7.3 NNW                      3.18                    

...OKLAHOMA...
TULSA 6.3 S                           3.78                    
ADA 4 SE                              3.52                    
BROKEN ARROW 3 NNW                    3.50                    
GLENPOOL 0.5 NW                       3.40                    
TULSA JONES JR. AIRPORT               3.34                    
JAY 3.3 NNE                           3.04                    
MUSKOGEE-DAVIS AIRPORT                2.97                    
GROVE MUNI AIRPORT                    2.93                    
CATOOSA 8.1 E                         2.78                    
TULSA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT           2.78                    
BIXBY 3.0 NE                          2.76                    
MUSKOGEE 4.0 NE                       2.76                    
OWASSO 3.7 W                          2.68                    
CLAREMORE 6.6 W                       2.60                    
TAHLEQUAH MUNI AIRPORT                2.52                    
CLAREMORE AIRPORT                     2.48                    
SALLISAW MUNI AIRPORT                 2.45                    
MCALESTER REGIONAL AIRPORT            2.38                    
DUNCAN/HALLIBURTON FIELD              2.09                    

...TEXAS...
FRISCO 1 WNW                          2.84                    
HENRIETTA 0.7 WSW                     2.35                    
MERKEL 5.8 SW                         2.25                    
SHEPPARD AFB/WICHITA FALLS            2.20                    
ABILENE 13 NNE                        1.89                    
TUSCOLA 13.1 WNW                      1.89                    
WICHITA FALLS 4.6 SSW                 1.81                    
PLANO 1 W                             1.72                    
BRONTE 5 NNE                          1.65                    
BURKBURNETT 1.2 WSW                   1.59                    
GORDONVILLE 3.6 NNE                   1.48                    
ALLEN 1 E                             1.47                    
GUNTER 5 SSW                          1.47                    
SPRINGTOWN 6 NW                       1.24                    


FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY INTO TOMORROW...A REDEVELOPMENT OF
DEEPER THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING FOCUSED ALONG THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WITH DEEP UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW AND SLOW EASTWARD
PROPAGATION EXPECTED... LEADING TO THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING
ESPECIALLY FROM WESTERN TN ACROSS EASTERN TX AND AR. MODERATE
RAINFALL WITH EMBEDDED HEAVIER CORES WILL ALSO EXTEND INTO THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY AS FAR NW AS WV LEADING TO POTENTIAL FLOODING
CONCERNS THERE AS WELL. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY PROGRESS
EAST THEN SOUTH ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY LATE WED
INTO THURS AS WELL KEEPING A FOCUS OF FLASH FLOODING LIKELY
THROUGH THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY.  

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1000 PM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

GALLINA




Last Updated: 447 PM EDT TUE MAR 27 2018