The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 1 for Eastern U.S. Winter Storm
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

Snow is falling across Missouri, Illinois and Indiana with a
wintry mix in Southern Ohio, Southern Central Indiana and Northern
Kentucky.

An Ice Storm Warning is in effect for Central Indiana,
Southwestern Ohio and Northern Kentucky.

Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories are in effect
for much of the Ohio Valley, Southern and Central Appalachians,
Mid-Atlantic and parts of the Northeast.

Winter Storm Watches are in effect for the Northern Appalachians
and Northeast.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 300 AM EST...A 1019 mb surface low was located along the
Tennessee/North Carolina border. It was associated with an upper
level low in Southern Illinois tracking northeast through the Ohio
Valley bringing large swaths of snow, ice and a wintry mix from
the Middle Mississippi Valley across much of the Ohio Valley and
Central Appalachians. A 1012 mb low centered over Northeastern
Florida was beginning to track up the coast with a warm front
extended out into the Atlantic and a cold front dropping south of
the low through western Florida and into the Caribbean.

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 700 AM
EST Wed Nov 14 through 300 AM EST Thu Nov 15...

...ARKANSAS...
AUGUSTA                               3.0                    
PINE BLUFF 3 S                        2.8                    

...ILLINOIS...
CASEYVILLE                            4.0                    
FAIRVIEW HEIGHTS                      4.0                    
NEW BURNSIDE                          3.5                    
TUNNEL HILL                           3.5                    

...KENTUCKY...
REDLAND                               2.3                    
LONE OAK 2 ENE                        2.2                    

...MISSOURI...
UNION                                 3.5                    
ST. LOUIS 2 W                         3.0                    
HIGH HILL                             2.8                    
VAN BUREN                             2.5                    

...TENNESSEE...
JACKSON 10 NE                         2.5                    
UNION CITY                            1.8                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Freezing Rain ice amounts in
inches from 700 AM EST Wed Nov 14 through 300 AM EST Thu Nov 15...

...INDIANA...
HARDINSBURG 3 WNW                     0.20                    
PILOT KNOB                            0.20                    

...KENTUCKY...
CROFTON                               0.25                    
MORGANTOWN                            0.25                    
ELIZABETHTOWN                         0.20                    
HIGHVIEW 2 SSW                        0.15                    


The strong upper-level low will move through the Ohio Valley
today, causing the area of snow and freezing rain there to persist
and move northeastward. Freezing rain totals are expected to be
highest in the Ice Storm Warning area, and a few additional inches
of snow are possible in parts of the Ohio Valley as well before
ending on Thursday night. Additionally, the surface low pressure
system will strengthen over the Southeast coast and move as a
nor'easter along the Eastern Seaboard on Thursday and Friday. On
the back side of this surface low to the north and west, another
area of wintry weather is expected today. Freezing rain will be
the main threat across the Southern and Central Appalachians as
warm and moist air overruns the cold air in place at the ground.
Ice accumulations could be over a quarter of an inch there. Later
today and tonight the upper-level and surface lows will work more
in conjunction with each other to create heavy snowfall in the
northern Mid-Atlantic and into the interior Northeast.  Snow of 6
to 10 inches is forecast in portions of interior Pennsylvania and
the Northeast, with locally higher amounts.  The heaviest of the
wintry precipitation will remain west of the major cities of D.C.
to New York City, but a wintry mix is possible at the onset of
this event on Thursday and could cause travel issues before
transitioning to rain.

The next storm summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 1000 AM EST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.

Kebede/Tate




Last Updated: 425 AM EST THU NOV 15 2018