The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 11 for Western U.S. to Upper Midwest Winter
Storm
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
100 AM PST Tue Feb 05 2019

...Rain and snow continues across the West and central Great Basin
while rain moves into the Lower Great Lakes... 

Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories cover portions
of the Pacific Northeast, northern California, Sierra Nevada,
central Great Basin, and the Northern and Central Rockies.

Avalanche Warnings are in effect for the Northern and Central
Rockies.

Wind Chill Advisories cover most of the Northern Great Plains.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 000 AM PST...A low pressure system with a central pressure of
1001 mb...29.56 inches was located in southern Ontario. A cold
front extended southwestward from the Lower Great Lakes through
the Ohio and Lower Mississippi Valleys before crossing the
Southern Plains and turning north into a stationary front along
the lee side of the Rockies. A warm front extends east from the
low across southern Ontario and northern Maine and into the
Atlantic. Meanwhile, a low pressure system with a central pressure
of 994 mb...29.35 inches was located in western Idaho. Two cold
fronts were present with the primary cold front extending from
central Idaho through southern California and into the Pacific.
The leading, weaker cold front, extends off the coast of the
Mexican Peninsula and into the Pacific. The National Weather
Service doppler radar and observations showed light to moderate
snow across portions of the Pacific Northwest, and rain along the
California coast. Moderate to heavy snowfall continued for the
Sierra Nevada. Light to moderate snow was ongoing for the Central
and Northern Rockies. Additionally, light to moderate snow
continued in the Northern Plains. Current wind chills in the Upper
Plains are between -20F and -40F. 

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 700 PM
PST Wed Feb 01 through 000 AM PST Mon Feb 04...

...CALIFORNIA...
JUNE LAKE 1 SSW                      72.0                    
MAMMOTH MOUNTAIN 1 SSW               42.0                    
TWIN BRIDGES 2 ESE                   32.0                    
SODA SPRINGS 3 ENE                   25.0                    
HOMEWOOD                             24.0                    
KIRKWOOD MEADOWS 1 SSE               20.0                    
SOUTH LAKE TAHOE 3 ESE               19.0                    
FISH CAMP                            18.0                    
TOMS PLACE 1 SW                      17.0                    
NORTHSTAR 1 SSW                      15.0                    
SQUAW VALLEY 1 WSW                   15.0                    
ALPINE MEADOWS 1 SW                  14.0                    
DONNER PEAK 1 W                      14.0                    
SODA SPRINGS 1 WNW                   14.0                    
BRIDGEPORT RESERVE 6 WNW             12.0                    
MEYERS 2 SW                          11.5                    
DONNER PEAK 1 WNW                    11.0                    
SUSANVILLE 5 WNW                     10.5                    
GREEN VALLEY LAKE                    10.0                    
MOUNTAIN HIGH SKI AREA               10.0                    
LONG VALLEY AT MT SAN JACINTO         8.0                    
SNOW VALLEY SKI AREA                  8.0                    

...COLORADO...
WOLF CREEK PASS                      10.0                    
COAL BANK PASS                        5.0                    
RED MOUNTAIN PASS                     4.0                    
MOLAS PASS                            3.5                    
CRESTED BUTTE                         3.0                    
GOTHIC                                3.0                    
MONUMENT                              3.0                    
BAYFIELD 8 N                          1.5                    
LEADVILLE 2 NE                        1.2                    

...IDAHO...
ALMO 17 SE                           13.0                    
HAILEY 19 ENE                        12.1                    
ISLAND PARK 16 NE                    12.1                    
MACKAY 10 NE                         10.9                    
SPENCER 11 ENE                       10.5                    
DRIGGS 17 SE                         10.4                    
BOGUS BASIN SKI AREA                 10.0                    
INKOM 5 ESE                          10.0                    
ATLANTA 6 WSW                         9.5                    
BRUNDAGE SKI AERA                     9.0                    
KETCHUM 16 WSW                        7.7                    
WEST YELLOWSTONE 6 S                  6.7                    
GRANGEVILLE                           6.5                    
TAMARACK SKI AREA                     6.0                    
TRINITY LAKES 1 WNW                   6.0                    
FRANKLIN 11 ENE                       5.6                    

...MICHIGAN...
CHASSELL                              2.0                    

...MINNESOTA...
AUDUBON                               6.0                    
LAKE PARK 9 S                         6.0                    
LANCASTER                             5.8                    
CRANE LAKE                            5.5                    
ROTHSAY                               4.5                    
OTTERTAIL                             3.5                    
THIEF RIVER FALLS                     3.0                    
HOLYOKE 2 ENE                         2.2                    
MAHTOWA 3 N                           1.4                    

...MONTANA...
GREENOUGH 3 SSW                      12.0                    
VICTOR 1 NNW                         10.0                    
BELKNAP                               9.0                    
WHITE PINE 2 S                        9.0                    
BUTTE                                 8.0                    
CHINOOK                               8.0                    
HELENA 2 NNW                          7.5                    
CORBIN 10 ESE                         7.0                    
HAUGAN                                7.0                    
KALISPELL 2 NNW                       7.0                    
MARION 1 S                            7.0                    
VICTOR 4 WSW                          7.0                    
WOLF CREEK 3 ESE                      7.0                    
NEWCOMB 2 SW                          6.5                    
GLASGOW 1 N                           6.0                    
TURNER 11 N                           6.0                    
ULM 11 SSE                            6.0                    
LEWISTOWN 1 NNW                       5.5                    
HARVE AIRPORT                         5.2                    
GREAT FALLS 5 WSW                     5.1                    
EAST HELENA 7 ENE                     5.0                    

...NEVADA...
HOMEWOOD                             24.0                    
SQUAW VALLEY 1 WSW                   21.0                    
INCLINE VILLAGE 3 E                  20.0                    
NORTHSTAR 1 SSW                      18.0                    
INCLINE VILLAGE 1 NNW                16.0                    
TAHOE CITY                           13.5                    
SOUTH LAKE TAHOE 3 ESE               12.0                    
MEYERS 2 NW                          11.5                    
MAMMOTH MOUNTAIN 1 SSW               11.0                    
MCGILL 10 ESE                        10.0                    
DEFIANCE MINES                        9.0                    
BOCA RESERVOIR 1 SSW                  8.5                    
SUSANVILLE 5 WNW                      8.0                    
LAMOILLE 7 SE                         7.0                    
MOUNT ROSE SUMMIT 1 NE                7.0                    
PARADISE VALLEY 12N                   7.0                    
AUSTIN 30 W                           6.0                    
DEETH 13 SSE                          6.0                    
EUREKA 4 SSW                          6.0                    
GOLCONDA 7 SW                         6.0                    
JARBIDGE 9 E                          6.0                    
JIGGS 12 SE                           6.0                    
JIGGS 8 ESE                           6.0                    
KINGSTON 6 NNW                        6.0                    
MAJORS PLACE 10 NNW                   6.0                    

...NORTH DAKOTA...
RUSSELL 6 SSW                        11.5                    
MINOT                                11.0                    
KILLDEER                             10.0                    
STANLEY 6 S                          10.0                    
WILLISTON                            10.0                    
PETERSBURG 2 N                        9.5                    
LANSFORD                              9.4                    
BONETRAIL 7 W                         9.0                    
HOLT 1 N                              9.0                    
WILLOW CITY                           9.0                    
VOLTAIRE 2 SSE                        8.5                    
MINOT 2 SW                            8.3                    
WATERFORD CITY                        8.2                    
CROOKSTON 1 S                         8.0                    
GRAND FORKS 10 E                      8.0                    
MICHIGAN 12 N                         8.0                    
SOUTH FAIRFIELD 8 S                   7.7                    
PENN 6 SE                             7.5                    
SHERWOOD                              7.0                    
VAN HOOK PARK 2 N                     7.0                    
VESELEYVILLE 2 SE                     7.0                    
WASKISH 4 NE                          7.0                    
NEW TOWN                              6.8                    
ESMOND 9 NNW                          6.7                    
GRAND FORKS                           6.7                    
WARREN                                6.0                    
GRASSY BUTTE 2 ENE                    5.1                    

...OREGON...
TOLLGATE                             12.0                    
GOLD BEACH 6 E                        9.0                    
SKI BLUEWOOD 9 SW                     8.0                    
TENNANT                               8.0                    
LA GRANDE 5 NNE                       4.6                    

...SOUTH DAKOTA...
LEMMON 11 SW                          6.9                    
MCINTOSH 6 SE                         5.0                    
HOOVER 1 WNW                          4.0                    

...UTAH...
BRIGHTON                              8.0                    
ALTA                                  6.0                    
PARK CITY                             4.0                    
POWDER MOUNTAIN                       4.0                    

...WASHINGTON...
LAKE STEVENS 1 W                     11.5                    
NORTH BEND                           11.0                    
CLEARVIEW                            10.0                    
LAKE STEVENS                          9.5                    
WOODINVILLE                           9.5                    
ANATONE 6 E                           9.0                    
MARYSVILLE                            9.0                    
REDMOND 4 N                           9.0                    
MILL CREEK 2 S                        8.6                    
SKI BLUEWOOD 2 NNW                    8.0                    
SNOQUALMIE 2 W                        8.0                    
FALL CITY                             7.8                    
MALTBY                                7.8                    
REDMOND 5 E                           7.8                    
ANATONE 8 NW                          7.5                    
ARLINGTON                             7.0                    
BELLEVUE 1 NE                         7.0                    
EVERETTE 1 W                          7.0                    
MONROE                                7.0                    
MUKILETO                              7.0                    
SEATTLE 3 SW                          5.5                    

...WISCONSIN...
GILE                                  3.5                    

...WYOMING...
JACKSON HOLE 10 NNW                   8.0                    
COMMISSARY RIDGE                      5.0                    
GRAND TARGHEE SNOTEL                  5.0                    
SNOW KING                             5.0                    
BONDURANT 10 N                        4.0                    
GRANITE CREEK SNOTEL                  4.0                    
BROOKS LAKE                           3.0                    
ELKHART PARK G.S. SNOTEL              3.0                    
LEWIS LAKE DIVIDE SNOTEL              3.0                    
MOOSE 6 NW                            3.0                    
SOUTH ENTRANCE OF YELLOW STONE 5 N    3.0                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 700 PM
PST Wed Feb 01 through 000 AM PST Mon Feb 04...

...ARIZONA...
LAKE MOHAVE AT DAVIS DAM              3.63                    
GREEN MOUNTAIN                        3.58                    
MT LEMMON ALERT                       3.42                    
MOLINO CANYON                         2.95                    
WHITE TAIL                            2.25                    
SUMMERHAVEN 1 W                       2.20                    
SCOUT CAMP                            2.14                    
SUMMERHAVEN 5 SE                      2.01                    
HESPERIA 4 SW                         1.95                    
RINCON                                1.67                    
BARKS CANYON                          1.65                    
CHERUM PEAK                           1.65                    
MUNDS PARK                            1.65                    

...CALIFORNIA...
GAVIOTA 10 WNW                        5.76                    
THREE PEAKS                           5.71                    
VENADO 7 NNW GUERNEVILLE              5.68                    
PONCIANO RIDGE 5 S CARMEL VALLEY      5.55                    
DAY VALLEY 4 NE                       5.51                    
PESCADERO CREEK                       5.50                    
LEXINGTON HILLS 3 E                   5.12                    
ORMSBY ROAD                           5.00                    
MONTARA                               4.96                    
SOLVANG 3 S                           3.98                    
CARPINTERIA 30 SSW                    3.95                    
REFUGIO STATE BEACH 5 N               3.39                    
LOS GATOS 1 ESE                       3.35                    
LOMPAC 5 S                            3.33                    
WARMS SPRINGS DAM                     3.24                    
NAPA 5 NE                             1.57                    
SAN JOSE 4 SSE                        1.48                    
MONTEREY AIRPORT                      1.39                    
SAN FRANCISCO 1 SW                    1.20                    
ESCONDIDO 4 ENE                       1.00                    

...NEVADA...
HENDERSON - WARM SPRINGS RD           4.18                    
BEAVER DAM                            2.95                    
MT. CHARLESTON 2 ENE                  2.75                    
INDIAN SPRINGS                        2.72                    
YUCCA FOREST 1 ALERT                  1.93                    
BEATTY - TIMBER MTN                   1.89                    
EAST LAS VEGAS                        1.59                    
CALIENTE 21 SE                        1.55                    
MT. POTOSI 4 NNW                      1.39                    
GOLDFIELD 1 N                         1.18                    

...UTAH...
WEBSTER FLAT                          2.40                    
HENRY MTN                             2.18                    
PINE VALLEY                           2.18                    
HARRIS FLAT                           2.10                    
KOLOB                                 2.00                    
ZION NATIONAL PARK 18 SSE             1.82                    
MIDWAY VALLEY                         1.80                    
SUNFLOWER FLAT                        1.70                    
SUU RANCH                             1.70                    
PARK CITY MOUNTAIN                    1.00                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Freezing Rain ice amounts in
inches from 700 PM PST Wed Feb 01 through 000 AM PST Mon Feb 04...

...MICHIGAN...
NEGAUNEE 4 N                          0.80                    
NWS MARQUETTE                         0.75                    
THROWBRIDGE PARK 1 WNW                0.70                    
IRONWOOD 1 W                          0.50                    
ISHPEMING 1 N                         0.40                    
THREE LAKES 2 ESE                     0.40                    
HARVEY 4 SE                           0.31                    
SAULT STE. MARIE 2 E                  0.31                    
AMASA                                 0.25                    
BEECHWOOD 1 W                         0.25                    
PEAVY FALLS DAM 1 E                   0.25                    
WATERSMEET 2 S                        0.25                    
NATIONAL MINE 5 SW                    0.20                    
ALPENA                                0.17                    
PELLSTON                              0.15                    
DAFTER 1 NE                           0.12                    

...MINNESOTA...
BENNETT                               0.25                    
BUTTERNU                              0.13                    
FINLAYSON                             0.13                    
HAYWARD 2 W                           0.13                    
PINE CITY                             0.13                    
SHELL LAKE                            0.13                    

...WISCONSIN...
ARMSTRONG CREEK                       0.20                    
CRANDON                               0.15                    
RHINELANDER                           0.10                    

...Selected preliminary Peak Wind gusts in miles per hour earlier
in the event...

...CALIFORNIA...
PT. CONCEPTION LIGHTHOUSE             76                    
GRAPEVINE 1 NNW                       74                    
CUYANA 13 NNW                         73                    
GAVIOTA HILLS RAWS                    71                    
SANTA YNEZ MTNS ABOVE MISSION         69                    
POINT ARGUELLO CMAN                   68                    
TEPUSQUET                             68                    
CAMINO DEL CAPITAN                    66                    
LOMPOC HILLS                          66                    
SANTA ROSA ISLAND                     65                    
MT ST HELENA WEST                     62                    
CARRIZO RAWS                          60                    
REFUGIO HILLS                         60                    
VANDENBERG AFB                        60                    
SANDSTONE PEAK                        58                    
SIERRA PELONA                         58                    

...COLORADO...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY 3 WSW               81                    
STEAMBOAT SPRINGS 4 NW                78                    
RED MOUNTAIN PASS 2 WSW               73                    
BERTHOUD PASS 2 NW                    72                    
HAYDEN YAMPA VALLEY ARPT              67                    
FOUNTAIN 3 W                          64                    
SILVERTON 2 SE                        55                    
GARFIELD COUNTY AIRPORT               50                    
CRAIG-MOFFAT AIRPORT                  45                    
GRAND JUNCTION 3 N                    45                    
GYPSUM 2 E                            45                    

...MONTANA...
HELMVILLE                             63                    
COLUMBIA FALLS                        53                    
LA SALLE 1 WSW                        53                    
THOMPSON FALLS                        50                    

...NEVADA...
BLUE EAGLE RANCH 11 SSE               79                    
WARM SPRINGS SUMMIT CEMP              71                    
MATHER RAWS                           68                    
RACHEL                                64                    
MOREY CREEK RAWS                      62                    
QUIMA PEAK RAWS                       54                    
SPRING GULCH RAWS                     54                    
CRANE SPRINGS RAWS                    52                    
TONOPAH                               51                    

...NEW MEXICO...
RUIDOSO 1 NNW                         61                    

...SOUTH DAKOTA...
BORDEAUX 1 SSE                        62                    

...UTAH...
OGDEN PARK                            83                    
SIGNAL PEAK                           77                    
SUNDANCE - ARROWHEAD                  76                    
REYNOLDS PEAK                         74                    
WINDY PEAK                            73                    
I-80 AT MP 78                         70                    
VERNON HILL                           70                    
CHEPETA                               67                    
BRIGHTON GREAT WESTERN                63                    
WELLSVILLE                            59                    
CALLAO GATE                           54                    

...WASHINGTON...
MARIETTA 6 W                          75                    
MARIETTA 5 W                          72                    
FERNDALE 4 ENE                        60                    

...WYOMING...
HOYT PEAK                             67                    
CASPER OUTER DRIVE                    66                    
CRYSTAL LAKE CAMP 8 ESE               66                    
BORDEAUX 1 SSE                        65                    
BUFORD 1 ENE                          65                    
HILAND 16 S                           65                    
SUMMIT - JACKSON RESORT               62                    
CHEYENNE                              61                    
BUFFALO 18 NW                         60                    
CLARK 1 W                             60                    
CODY 10 WNW                           57                    
RED CANYON                            56                    
CLARK 5 WNW                           55                    
LINCH                                 52                    


The low pressure system in southern Ontario will continue to
weaken as it propagates northeastward toward the Atlantic. An
Arctic airmass remains over the Central and Southern Great Plains,
bringing frigid air to these regions. Wind chill values as low as
-30F to -40F are expected for the next few days. Meanwhile,
another system in the Great Basin will continue bringing heavy
snowfall across the higher elevations of the western states,
including the Sierra Nevada range, the Oregon Cascades, and higher
elevations of the Northern and Central Rockies in addition to the
higher elevations of the Central Great Basin through Wednesday.
The Sierra Nevada range can expect snow totals of up to 6 feet
through Wednesday morning, while portions of the Intermountain
West and Northern and Central Rockies will pickup an additional 6
to 12 inches through Friday. The western system will bring
eventually move west and will deliver 6 to 12 inches of snow to
the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes regions through Friday. Ice
accumulations of up to a quarter of an inch are likely across the
Middle Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley and Great Lakes regions. 

The next storm summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 700 AM PST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.

Kebede




Last Updated: 406 AM EST TUE FEB 05 2019