The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 02 for Southwest to Midwest Winter Storm and
Lower Mississippi Valley Heavy Rainfall
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM MST Fri Feb 22 2019

...Ongoing snow and rain in Arizona and western New Mexico. Heavy
rain for parts of the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys...

Blizzard Warnings are in effect for parts of the Central Plains.

Winter Storm Watches, Warnings and Advisories are in effect for
parts of the Southwest and Central/Southern Rockies through to the
Northern/Central Plains, Middle Mississippi Valley and Upper
Midwest/Great Lakes.

Flash Flood Watches and Warnings as well as Flood Advisories and
Warnings are in effect for the Lower Mississippi Valley up through
the Tennessee/Ohio Valleys and Mid-Atlantic.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 100 PM MST...A surface low with a central pressure of 1001 mb
was located over Eastern Arizona moving east-northeast toward the
Southern Plains. Moisture advection from the Gulf was overrunning
a frontal boundary, which was oriented across the Lower
Mississippi Valley through the Southeast and into the Atlantic,
producing rain. National Weather Service radars and observations
indicated that rain and snow falling in Arizona. Meanwhile,
moderate to heavy rainfall was observed over the Lower
Mississippi, Tennessee and Ohio Valleys as well as the
Mid-Atlantic.

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 500 AM
MST Wed Feb 21 through 100 PM MST Sat Feb 22...

...ARIZONA...
MUNDS PARK                           39.5                    
FLAGSTAFF AIRPORT                    38.9                    
WILLIAMS 5S                          37.0                    
WASHINGTON PARK                      35.0                    
FOREST LAKES                         34.0                    
MOUNTAINAIRE                         33.0                    
KOHLS RANCH                          32.0                    
CROW KING                            30.0                    
HEBER-OVERHAARD                      28.0                    
STRAWBERRY 2 W                       27.0                    
PRESCOTT 1 SW                        25.9                    
SHOW LOW 5NE                         24.0                    
SNOWFLAKE 10W                        24.0                    
BRIGHT ANGEL POINT 1 N               22.0                    
N RIM GRAND CANYON                   22.0                    
PRESCOTT VALLEY 3 S                  20.0                    
TUCSON 19 SE                          6.0                    

...COLORADO...
MONTICELLO 1SW                       16.0                    
BLANDING                             13.0                    
DOVE CREEK 12.4SSW                   13.0                    
DOLORES 4.8ENE                       12.5                    
PARK RESERVOIR                       12.0                    
DOUGLAS PASS                         10.0                    
DURANGO 10NNE                        10.0                    
PAGOSA SPRINGS 11NW                  10.0                    
REDMESA 4.2NW                        10.0                    
DURANGO                               9.0                    
VALLEY OF THE GODS                    9.0                    
CAMP JACKSON                          8.0                    
TRIMBLE 5 ESE                         8.0                    
HESPERUS 9.8SW                        7.5                    
MESA 6S                               7.0                    

...NEW MEXICO...
TOHATCHI                             12.0                    
GALLUP                               11.0                    
TOADLENA 5SSW                         9.0                    
LUNA 6 SSE                            7.0                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 500 AM
MST Wed Feb 21 through 100 PM MST Sat Feb 22...

...ALABAMA...
GREENWOOD-LEFLORE APT                 4.32                    
PRYOR FIELD                           3.03                    

...ARIZONA...
SANTA CRUZ RIVER @INA RD              3.78                    
BISBEE TUNNEL                         3.27                    
CALABASAS CANYON                      2.05                    
ARIVACA LAKE                          1.81                    
THREE FORKS 12 SSE                    1.60                    
ALDER CANYON NEAR MT. LEMMON          1.50                    
CHUICHU 7SW                           1.44                    
FLORENCE 6 SE                         1.41                    
NOGALES 4W                            1.37                    
WELL D-37                             1.34                    
THREE FORKS 15S                       1.31                    

...ARKANSAS...
MONTICELLO MUNICIPAL APT              2.70                    
STUTTGART MUNICIPAL APT               1.28                    

...GEORGIA...
BLAIRSVILLE APT                       2.50                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
TIE PLANT 5 WSW                       9.91                    
GRENADA 1 SW                          8.31                    
BERCLAIR 4 NW                         6.96                    
TUPELO REGIONAL APT                   6.65                    
LELAND 3 ENE                          5.88                    
GEESLIN CORNER 4W                     5.27                    
INDIANOLA 1WNW                        5.15                    
GREENVILLE 1 SSE                      3.70                    
BURDETT 1 SW                          2.51                    
BOYLE 1W                              2.07                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SHELBY MUNICIPAL APT                  1.62                    
ASHEVILLE REGIONAL APT                1.37                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG APT            1.63                    

...TENNESSEE...
HARDIN CO                             1.92                    
PULASKI ABERNATHY FIELD APT           1.87                    
MEMPHIS INTL APT                      1.38                    

...VIRGINIA...
VIRGINIA TECH APT                     1.44                    


The Southwest storm is expected to reorganize and will arrive in
the Southern Plains by Saturday morning. Meanwhile, a new surface
low will develop along the boundary in the Lower Mississippi
Valley and begin moving north. Snowfall amounts ranging from 6 to
10 inches possible for the Western Arizona/Eastern New Mexico and
the Southern/Central Rockies through Saturday morning. 2 to 4
inches of snow possible across the Central/Northern Plains.
Rainfall totals of up to 2.5 inches likely for an area from
southeast Arkansas through northern Mississippi and into
western/central Tennessee by Saturday morning.

The next storm summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 800 PM MST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.

Kebede




Last Updated: 334 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2019