The Weather Prediction Center
College Park, MD
Storm Summary Message
Storm Summary Number 03 for Southwest to Midwest Winter Storm and
Lower Mississippi Valley Heavy Rainfall
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
800 PM MST Fri Feb 22 2019
...Ongoing snow and rain in Arizona and western New Mexico. Heavy
rain for parts of the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys...
Blizzard Warnings are in effect for parts of the Central Plains.
Winter Storm Warnings, Watches, and Advisories are in effect for
parts of the Southwest and Central/Southern Rockies through to the
Northern/Central Plains, Middle Mississippi Valley and Upper
Midwest/Great Lakes.
Flash Flood Warnings and Watches as well as Flood Warnings and
Advisories are in effect for the Lower Mississippi Valley up
through the Tennessee/Ohio Valleys and Mid-Atlantic.
For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
At 700 PM MST...A surface low with a central pressure of 1000 mb,
or 29.53 inches of mercury, was located in south-central Colorado
and advancing eastward toward the Central Plains. A cold front was
extending southwestward from the low through central New Mexico,
northern Mexico, and Baja California. In addition, a warm front
extended southeastward through eastern New Mexico, and central
Texas. Meanwhile, moisture advection from the Gulf was overrunning
a stationary frontal boundary, which was oriented across the Lower
Mississippi Valley through the Southeast and into the Atlantic.
National Weather Service Doppler radar and surface observations
indicated rain and snow across portions of Arizona, with snow
across the southern and central Rockies and rain in parts of
southern New Mexico. Meanwhile, moderate to heavy rainfall was
observed north of the stationary boundary over the Lower
Mississippi, Tennessee, and Ohio Valleys as well as the
Mid-Atlantic.
...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 500 AM
MST Thu Feb 21 through 700 PM MST Fri Feb 22...
...ARIZONA...
MUNDS PARK 1 E 43.0
MUNDS PARK 39.5
FLAGSTAFF AIRPORT 38.9
WILLIAMS 5 S 38.3
WILLIAMS 5S 37.0
WASHINGTON PARK 35.0
FOREST LAKES 34.0
WASHINGTON PARK 4 S 33.2
MOUNTAINAIRE 33.0
KOHLS RANCH 32.0
PINE 4 S 32.0
CROW KING 30.0
SUMMERHAVEN 1 W 30.0
DOWNTOWN FLAGSTAFF 2 SW 29.5
HEBER-OVERHAARD 28.0
PRESCOTT COURTHOUSE 1 SW 28.0
IRON SPRINGS 27.2
PAYSON 2 N 27.0
STRAWBERRY 2 W 27.0
PRESCOTT 1 SW 25.9
FLAGSTAFF MALL 1 W 25.0
MORENCI 40 N 25.0
HEBER-OVERGAARD 3 SE 24.0
SHOW LOW 5NE 24.0
SNOWFLAKE 10W 24.0
BRIGHT ANGEL POINT 1 N 22.0
N RIM GRAND CANYON 22.0
PRESCOTT VALLEY 3 S 22.0
SHOW LOW 6 NE 20.0
PRESCOTT VALLEY 1 S 18.0
WINONA 1 NW 18.0
TUCSON 19 SE 6.0
...COLORADO...
MONTICELLO 1SW 16.0
BLANDING 13.0
DOVE CREEK 12.4SSW 13.0
DOLORES 4.8ENE 12.5
PARK RESERVOIR 12.0
DOUGLAS PASS 10.0
DURANGO 10NNE 10.0
PAGOSA SPRINGS 11NW 10.0
REDMESA 4.2NW 10.0
DURANGO 9.0
VALLEY OF THE GODS 9.0
CAMP JACKSON 8.0
TRIMBLE 5 ESE 8.0
HESPERUS 9.8SW 7.5
MESA 6S 7.0
...NEVADA...
MT CHARLESTON 1 NNW 10.5
SUMMERLIN 1 NW 7.5
MT CHARLESTON 7.0
...NEW MEXICO...
GALLUP 5 W 15.0
TOHATCHI 12.0
TOADLENA 5SSW 9.0
PIETOWN 8.0
LUNA 6 SSE 7.0
CLOVERDALE 4.0
ALBUQUERQUE 2.5
...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 500 AM
MST Thu Feb 21 through 700 PM MST Fri Feb 22...
...ALABAMA...
TOWN CREEK 1 SSE 4.93
GREENWOOD-LEFLORE APT 4.32
HODGES RAIN 4.05
PRYOR FIELD 3.03
...ARIZONA...
SANTA CRUZ RIVER @INA RD 3.78
BISBEE TUNNEL 3.27
CALABASAS CANYON 2.05
ARIVACA LAKE 1.81
THREE FORKS 12 SSE 1.60
ALDER CANYON NEAR MT. LEMMON 1.50
CHUICHU 7SW 1.44
FLORENCE 6 SE 1.41
NOGALES 4W 1.37
WELL D-37 1.34
THREE FORKS 15S 1.31
...ARKANSAS...
ARKANSAS POST NATIONAL PARK 5.73
MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREEENVILLE 4.29
MONTICELLO MUNICIPAL APT 2.70
STUTTGART MUNICIPAL APT 1.28
...GEORGIA...
BLAIRSVILLE APT 2.50
...MISSISSIPPI...
TIE PLANT 5 WSW 9.91
GRENADA 1 SW 8.31
TALLAHATCHIE RIVER AT MONEY 7.48
GRENADA DAM 3 NE 7.14
BERCLAIR 4 NW 6.96
TUPELO REGIONAL APT 6.65
YALLABUSHA 6.22
HIGHWAY 41 6.15
MOORHEAD 6.01
TUPELO 6.01
LELAND 3 ENE 5.88
MAIN CANAL NEAR LONGWOOD 5.60
MS DELTA 4 5.60
BLACK BAYOU EAST OF GREENVILLE 5.36
GEESLIN CORNER 4W 5.27
PONTOTOC 5.16
INDIANOLA 1WNW 5.15
MS DELTA 5 4.83
HOLCUT RAIN 4.79
QUIVER RIVER AT DODSVILLE 4.57
TISHOMINGO 4.48
GREENVILLE 1 SSE 3.70
BURDETT 1 SW 2.51
BOYLE 1W 2.07
...NORTH CAROLINA...
SHELBY MUNICIPAL APT 1.62
ASHEVILLE REGIONAL APT 1.37
...SOUTH CAROLINA...
GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG APT 1.63
...TENNESSEE...
HARDIN CO 1.92
PULASKI ABERNATHY FIELD APT 1.87
MEMPHIS INTL APT 1.38
...VIRGINIA...
VIRGINIA TECH APT 1.44
The Southwest storm is expected to reorganize as it advances
eastward and will arrive in the Southern Plains by Saturday
morning. During this time, a new surface low is expected to
develop along the boundary in the Lower Mississippi Valley with
the front advancing northward as a warm front. These systems will
then merge Saturday afternoon and track northeastward. Ahead of
the system, moderate to heavy rain is expected across the
Mississippi, Tennessee, and Ohio Valleys and the Mid-Atlantic
throughout Saturday and Sunday, with the Northeast beginning to
see impacts Saturday night. In addition, the Central Plains, Upper
Midwest, and the Great Lakes will receive moderate to heavy
snowfall. Greatest snowfall accumulations ranging from 6 to 10
inches are possible for the Southern Rockies, Central Plains, and
Upper Midwest through Sunday evening. Rainfall accumulations of up
to 2-4 inches are possible across the Lower Mississippi,
Tennessee, and Ohio Valley, with up to 1 inch across the
Mid-Atlantic by Sunday night.
The next storm summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 200 AM MST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.
Hammond
Last Updated: 1023 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2019