The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 04 for Southwest to Midwest Winter Storm and
Lower Mississippi Valley Heavy Rainfall
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 AM MST Sat Feb 23 2019

...Ongoing snow and rain across the Southern Rockies and Southern
Plains. Heavy rain for parts of the Lower Mississippi and
Tennessee Valleys...

Blizzard Warnings are in effect for parts of the Central Plains
and Upper Midwest.

Winter Storm Warnings, Watches, and Advisories are in effect for
parts of the Southwest and Central/Southern Rockies through to the
Northern/Central Plains and Upper Midwest/Great Lakes.

Flash Flood Warnings and Watches as well as Flood Warnings and
Advisories are in effect for the Lower Mississippi Valley up
through the Tennessee/Ohio Valleys and Mid-Atlantic.

High Wind Warnings and Watches are in effect across the Great
Lakes.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 100 AM MST...A surface low with a central pressure of 1001 mb,
or 29.56 inches of mercury, was located in northeast New Mexico.
This low was occluded with a cold front extending southwestward
through western Texas and into Mexico. Additionally, a warm front
extended southeastward through central Texas. Meanwhile, in the
Southeast, a warm front was positioned across the Lower
Mississippi Valley through central Mississippi, Alabama, and
southern Georgia before connecting to a cold front which extended
into the Atlantic. National Weather Service Doppler radar and
surface observations indicated snow across the southern and
central Rockies and light rain across the Texas panhandle. In
addition, light snow and rain were observed across the Upper
Midwest. At the same time, moderate to heavy rainfall was observed
north of the warm front across the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee
Valley, as well as the Mid-Atlantic.

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 500 AM
MST Thu Feb 21 through 100 AM MST Sat Feb 23...

...ARIZONA...
KACHINA VILLAGE                      48.0                    
FOREST LAKES                         43.0                    
MUNDS PARK 1 E                       43.0                    
MORMON LAKE                          40.0                    
FLAGSTAFF AIRPORT                    38.9                    
WILLIAMS 5 S                         38.3                    
WASHINGTON PARK                      35.0                    
MOUNTAINAIRE                         33.0                    
KOHLS RANCH                          32.0                    
PINE 4 S                             32.0                    
CROW KING                            30.0                    
SUMMERHAVEN 1 W                      30.0                    
DOWNTOWN FLAGSTAFF 2 SW              29.5                    
HEBER-OVERHAARD                      28.0                    
PRESCOTT COURTHOUSE 1 SW             28.0                    
IRON SPRINGS                         27.2                    
PAYSON 2 N                           27.0                    
STRAWBERRY 2 W                       27.0                    
HANNIGAN MEADOW                      25.0                    
MORENCI 40 N                         25.0                    
TUCSON 19 SE                          6.0                    

...COLORADO...
MONTICELLO 1SW                       16.0                    
BLANDING                             13.0                    
DOVE CREEK 12.4SSW                   13.0                    
DOLORES 4.8ENE                       12.5                    
PARK RESERVOIR                       12.0                    
DOUGLAS PASS                         10.0                    
DURANGO 10NNE                        10.0                    
PAGOSA SPRINGS 11NW                  10.0                    
REDMESA 4.2NW                        10.0                    
PLACERVILLE 9 NE                      9.3                    
VALLEY OF THE GODS                    9.0                    
CAMP JACKSON                          8.0                    
TRIMBLE 5 ESE                         8.0                    
HESPERUS 9.8SW                        7.5                    
MESA 6S                               7.0                    

...NEVADA...
MT CHARLESTON 1 NNW                  10.5                    
SUMMERLIN 1 NW                        7.5                    

...NEW MEXICO...
GALLUP 5 W                           15.0                    
TOADLENA 5SSW                        12.0                    
TOHATCHI                             12.0                    
BLUEWATER LAKE 11 WSW                11.0                    
LUNA 6 SSE                           11.0                    
PREWITT 5 WSW                        10.0                    
PIETOWN                               8.0                    
CLOVERDALE                            4.0                    
ALBUQUERQUE                           2.5                    

...SOUTH DAKOTA...
FREDERICK 5 NNE                       6.0                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 500 AM
MST Thu Feb 21 through 100 AM MST Sat Feb 23...

...ALABAMA...
HODGES                                7.06                    
OWENS CROSSROADS 5 WSW                6.75                    
DIME                                  6.57                    
HUNTSVILLE                            6.44                    
ATHENS                                6.27                    
FALKVILLE                             6.14                    
RED BAY 11 NE                         6.10                    
GRAYSON 4 N                           6.06                    
WILSON DAM                            5.72                    
MUSCLE SHOALS                         5.61                    
CHEROKEE                              5.14                    
TOWN CREEK                            5.06                    
FLORENCE                              5.02                    

...ARIZONA...
SANTA CRUZ RIVER @INA RD              3.78                    
BISBEE TUNNEL                         3.27                    
CALABASAS CANYON                      2.05                    
ARIVACA LAKE                          1.81                    
THREE FORKS 12 SSE                    1.60                    
ALDER CANYON NEAR MT. LEMMON          1.50                    
CHUICHU 7SW                           1.44                    
FLORENCE 6 SE                         1.41                    
NOGALES 4W                            1.37                    
WELL D-37                             1.34                    
THREE FORKS 15S                       1.31                    

...ARKANSAS...
ARKANSAS POST NATIONAL PARK           5.73                    
FELSENTHAL NWR                        5.47                    
PINE BLUFF                            4.98                    
MONTGOMERY POINT LOCK                 4.90                    
MONTICELLO MUNICIPAL APT              4.65                    
MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREEENVILLE    4.29                    
DEEP BAYOU NEAR STAR CITY             4.07                    
UAM                                   3.80                    
SALINE RIVER NEAR RYE 4 SW            3.75                    
BAYOU BARTHOLOMEW                     3.36                    

...GEORGIA...
MACEDONIA                             2.83                    
DAHLONEGA                             2.54                    
TITUS                                 2.52                    
BLAIRSVILLE APT                       2.50                    
CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER AT HELEN          2.49                    
TALLULAH                              2.48                    
HIAWASSEE 5 SE                        2.41                    

...LOUISIANA...
CANEY                                 2.60                    
BASTROP MOREHOUSE MEMORIAL APT        2.18                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
TIE PLANT 5 WSW                       9.91                    
TUPELO                                8.75                    
GRENADA 1 SW                          8.31                    
GRENADA DAM 3 NE                      7.68                    
TALLAHATCHIE RIVER AT MONEY           7.54                    
BLACK BAYOU EAST OF GREENVILLE        7.01                    
BERCLAIR 4 NW                         6.96                    
YALLABUSHA                            6.57                    
BATESVILLE                            6.45                    
HIGHWAY 41                            6.15                    
MOORHEAD                              6.01                    
LELAND 3 ENE                          5.88                    
MAIN CANAL NEAR LONGWOOD              5.60                    
MS DELTA 4                            5.60                    
GEESLIN CORNER 4W                     5.27                    
PONTOTOC                              5.16                    
INDIANOLA 1WNW                        5.15                    
MS DELTA 5                            4.83                    
HOLCUT RAIN                           4.79                    
QUIVER RIVER AT DODSVILLE             4.57                    
TISHOMINGO                            4.48                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
CULLOWHEE                             3.53                    
OTTO                                  3.18                    
HIGHLANDS                             3.11                    
SHELBY MUNICIPAL APT                  1.62                    
ASHEVILLE REGIONAL APT                1.37                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
ANDREW PICKENS                        3.79                    
SLICKING MTN                          2.83                    
SUNFISH MTN NEAR ROCKY BOTTOM         2.63                    
TABLE ROCK                            2.47                    
TRAMMEL GAP NEAR TIGERVILLE           2.41                    

...TENNESSEE...
COLLINWOOD                            4.70                    
LEOMA                                 4.17                    
DUNN NEAR LAWRENCEBURG                4.10                    
LAWRENCEBURG                          3.52                    
PICKWICK DAM                          3.43                    
FRANKEWING                            3.27                    
SAVANNAH 4 SE                         3.23                    
IRON CITY                             3.06                    
HARDIN CO                             1.92                    
PULASKI ABERNATHY FIELD APT           1.87                    
MEMPHIS INTL APT                      1.38                    

...VIRGINIA...
COPPER HILL                           3.71                    
TINKER CREEK                          2.94                    
MASON CREEK                           2.49                    
TROUTVILLE                            2.26                    
BLACKSBURG                            2.14                    
MAGGODEE CREEK                        2.09                    
VIRGINIA TECH APT                     1.44                    

...Selected preliminary Peak Wind gusts in miles per hour earlier
in the event...

...TEXAS...
NORTHEAST EL PASO                     69                    
SOUTH FRANKLIN PEAK                   67                    
NORTHRUP STRIP                        63                    
SAN AUGUSTIN PASS                     62                    
HACHITA 15 SSW                        61                    


The Southwest storm is expected to reorganize as it advances
eastward and will arrive in the Southern Plains by Saturday
morning. During this time, a new surface low is expected to
develop along the warm front in the Southeast and advance
northward. These two systems are expected to merge Saturday
afternoon and track northeastward. Ahead of the system, moderate
to heavy rain is expected across the Mississippi, Tennessee, and
Ohio Valleys, as well as the Mid-Atlantic, throughout Saturday and
Sunday. By Saturday night, this system will reach the Northeast.
This system is also expected to bring moderate to heavy snowfall
across the Central Plains, Upper Midwest, and the Great Lakes.
Greatest snowfall accumulations ranging from 6 to 10 inches are
possible for the Southern Rockies, Central Plains, and Upper
Midwest through Sunday evening. Rainfall accumulations of up to
2-4 inches are possible across the Lower Mississippi, Tennessee,
and Ohio Valley, with up to 1 inch across the Mid-Atlantic by
Sunday night.

The next storm summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 800 AM MST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.

Hammond




Last Updated: 414 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2019