The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 05 for Southwest to Midwest Winter Storm and
Lower Mississippi Valley Heavy Rainfall
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
800 AM MST Sat Feb 23 2019

...Ongoing snow and rain across the Southern/Central Rockies and
Southern/Central Plains. Heavy rain for parts of the Lower
Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys and Mid-Atlantic... 

Flash Flood Warnings and Watches as well as Flood Warnings and
Advisories are in effect for the Lower Mississippi Valley up
through the Tennessee/Ohio Valleys and Mid-Atlantic.

Winter Storm Warnings, Watches, and Advisories are in effect for
parts of the Central/Southern Rockies through to the
Northern/Central Plains and Upper Midwest/Great Lakes.

Blizzard Warnings are in effect for parts of the Southern/Central
Plains, Middle Mississippi Valley and Upper Midwest.

High Wind Warnings and Watches are in effect across the Great
Lakes.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 700 AM MST...A surface low with a central pressure of 997 mb,
or 29.44 inches of mercury, was located in the Panhandle of Texas.
This low was occluded with a cold front extending southwestward
through western Texas and into Mexico. Additionally, a warm front
extended south through central Texas. Meanwhile, in the Southeast,
a warm front was positioned across the Lower Mississippi Valley
through central Mississippi, Alabama, and southern Georgia before
connecting to a stationary front which extended into the Atlantic.
National Weather Service Doppler radar and surface observations
indicated snow across the southern and central Rockies and light
to moderate rain in the Texas panhandle. In addition, light snow
and rain were observed across the Upper Midwest. At the same time,
moderate to heavy rainfall was observed north of the warm front
across the Lower Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys and the
Mid-Atlantic. 

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 500 AM
MST Thu Feb 21 through 700 AM MST Sat Feb 23...

...COLORADO...
ROCKWOOD 6.9 NNW                     23.2                    
DURANGO 4.8 WSW                      18.7                    
MONTICELLO 1SW                       16.0                    
HESPERUS 9.8 SW                      15.2                    
DOVE CREEK 12.4 SSW                  14.0                    
BLANDING                             13.0                    
DOLORES 4.8 ENE                      12.5                    
PARK RESERVOIR                       12.0                    
WOLF CREEK PASS 1 SE                 11.0                    
DOUGLAS PASS                         10.0                    
PAGOSA SPRINGS 11NW                  10.0                    
REDMESA 4.2NW                        10.0                    
PLACERVILLE 9 NE                      9.3                    
VALLEY OF THE GODS                    9.0                    
CAMP JACKSON                          8.0                    
TRIMBLE 5 ESE                         8.0                    
MESA 6S                               7.0                    

...KANSAS...
HOLCOMB 3 NW                          5.0                    
GARDEN CITY                           4.5                    
SYRACUSE                              3.0                    
SCOTT CITY                            2.0                    

...NEW MEXICO...
GALLUP 5 W                           15.0                    
TOADLENA 5SSW                        12.0                    
TOHATCHI                             12.0                    
BLUEWATER LAKE 11 WSW                11.0                    
LUNA 6 SSE                           11.0                    
PREWITT 5 WSW                        10.0                    
PIETOWN                               8.0                    
ALBUQUERQUE 6 ENE                     4.0                    
CLOVERDALE                            4.0                    

...SOUTH DAKOTA...
FREDERICK 5 NNE                       6.0                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 500 AM
MST Thu Feb 21 through 700 AM MST Sat Feb 23...

...ALABAMA...
HODGES                                7.06                    
OWENS CROSSROADS 5 WSW                6.75                    
DIME                                  6.57                    
HUNTSVILLE                            6.44                    
ATHENS                                6.27                    
MUSCLE SHOALS                         6.18                    
FALKVILLE                             6.14                    
RED BAY 11 NE                         6.10                    
GRAYSON 4 N                           6.06                    
WILSON DAM                            5.72                    
CHEROKEE                              5.14                    
TOWN CREEK                            5.06                    
FLORENCE                              5.02                    
DECATUR                               4.34                    

...ARIZONA...
SANTA CRUZ RIVER @INA RD              3.78                    
BISBEE TUNNEL                         3.27                    
CALABASAS CANYON                      2.05                    
ARIVACA LAKE                          1.81                    
THREE FORKS 12 SSE                    1.60                    
ALDER CANYON NEAR MT. LEMMON          1.50                    
CHUICHU 7SW                           1.44                    
FLORENCE 6 SE                         1.41                    
NOGALES 4W                            1.37                    
WELL D-37                             1.34                    
THREE FORKS 15S                       1.31                    

...ARKANSAS...
ARKANSAS POST NATIONAL PARK           5.73                    
FELSENTHAL NWR                        5.47                    
PINE BLUFF                            4.98                    
MONTGOMERY POINT LOCK                 4.90                    
MONTICELLO MUNICIPAL APT              4.70                    
MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREEENVILLE    4.29                    
DEEP BAYOU NEAR STAR CITY             4.07                    
UAM                                   3.80                    
SALINE RIVER NEAR RYE 4 SW            3.75                    
BAYOU BARTHOLOMEW                     3.36                    

...GEORGIA...
MACEDONIA                             2.83                    
DAHLONEGA                             2.54                    
TITUS                                 2.52                    
BLAIRSVILLE APT                       2.50                    
CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER AT HELEN          2.49                    
TALLULAH                              2.48                    
HIAWASSEE 5 SE                        2.41                    

...ILLINOIS...
ALEDO                                 0.91                    

...IOWA...
OAKLAND MILLS 3 W                     1.22                    
PARNELL                               1.14                    

...KENTUCKY...
WHITLEY CITY                          1.33                    

...LOUISIANA...
CANEY                                 2.60                    
BASTROP MOREHOUSE MEMORIAL APT        2.18                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
TIE PLANT 5 WSW                       9.91                    
TUPELO                                9.59                    
GRENADA 1 SW                          8.31                    
GRENADA DAM 3 NE                      7.68                    
TALLAHATCHIE RIVER AT MONEY           7.54                    
BATESVILLE                            7.24                    
BLACK BAYOU EAST OF GREENVILLE        7.01                    
BERCLAIR 4 NW                         6.96                    
YALLABUSHA                            6.57                    
HIGHWAY 41                            6.15                    
MOORHEAD                              6.01                    
LELAND 3 ENE                          5.88                    
MAIN CANAL NEAR LONGWOOD              5.60                    
MS DELTA 4                            5.60                    
GEESLIN CORNER 4W                     5.27                    
PONTOTOC                              5.16                    
INDIANOLA 1WNW                        5.15                    
MS DELTA 5                            4.83                    
HOLCUT RAIN                           4.79                    
QUIVER RIVER AT DODSVILLE             4.57                    
TISHOMINGO                            4.48                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
CULLOWHEE                             3.53                    
OTTO                                  3.18                    
HIGHLANDS                             3.11                    
MOUNT AIRY                            2.15                    
SHELBY MUNICIPAL APT                  1.62                    
ASHEVILLE REGIONAL APT                1.57                    
LEXINGTON                             0.94                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
ANDREW PICKENS                        3.79                    
SLICKING MTN                          2.83                    
SUNFISH MTN NEAR ROCKY BOTTOM         2.63                    
TABLE ROCK                            2.47                    
TRAMMEL GAP NEAR TIGERVILLE           2.41                    

...TENNESSEE...
COLLINWOOD                            4.70                    
LEOMA                                 4.17                    
DUNN NEAR LAWRENCEBURG                4.10                    
SAVANNAH                              3.99                    
PULASKI ABERNATHY FIELD APT           3.82                    
LAWRENCEBURG                          3.52                    
PICKWICK DAM                          3.43                    
FRANKEWING                            3.27                    
SAVANNAH 4 SE                         3.23                    
KNOXVILLE                             3.11                    
IRON CITY                             3.06                    
JACKSBORO                             2.33                    
HARDIN CO                             1.92                    
MEMPHIS INTL APT                      1.38                    

...VIRGINIA...
COPPER HILL                           3.71                    
TINKER CREEK                          2.94                    
MASON CREEK                           2.49                    
TROUTVILLE                            2.26                    
BLACKSBURG                            2.18                    
MAGGODEE CREEK                        2.09                    
VIRGINIA TECH APT                     1.44                    

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BLUEFIELD                             1.03                    

...Selected preliminary Peak Wind gusts in miles per hour earlier
in the event...

...TEXAS...
NORTHEAST EL PASO                     69                    
SOUTH FRANKLIN PEAK                   67                    
NORTHRUP STRIP                        63                    
SAN AUGUSTIN PASS                     62                    
HACHITA 15 SSW                        61                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches where the
event has ended...

...ARIZONA...
KACHINA VILLAGE                      48.0                    
FOREST LAKES                         43.0                    
MUNDS PARK 1 E                       43.0                    
MORMON LAKE                          40.0                    
FLAGSTAFF AIRPORT                    38.9                    
WILLIAMS 5 S                         38.3                    
WASHINGTON PARK                      35.0                    
MOUNTAINAIRE                         33.0                    
KOHLS RANCH                          32.0                    
PINE 4 S                             32.0                    
CROW KING                            30.0                    
SUMMERHAVEN 1 W                      30.0                    
DOWNTOWN FLAGSTAFF 2 SW              29.5                    
HEBER-OVERHAARD                      28.0                    
PRESCOTT COURTHOUSE 1 SW             28.0                    
IRON SPRINGS                         27.2                    
PAYSON 2 N                           27.0                    
STRAWBERRY 2 W                       27.0                    
HANNIGAN MEADOW                      25.0                    
MORENCI 40 N                         25.0                    
TUCSON 19 SE                          6.0                    

...NEVADA...
MT CHARLESTON 1 NNW                  10.5                    
SUMMERLIN 1 NW                        7.5                    


The storm in the Texas Panhandle will progress northeast across
the Central Plains toward the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes through
Saturday evening. During this time, a new surface low is expected
to develop along the boundary off of the Southeast coast and
advance northward. These two systems are expected to merge
Saturday afternoon and track northeastward. Ahead of the system,
moderate to heavy rain is expected across the Mississippi,
Tennessee, and Ohio Valleys, as well as the Mid-Atlantic,
throughout Saturday and Sunday. By Saturday night, this system
will reach the Northeast. This system is also expected to bring
moderate to heavy snowfall across the Central Plains, Upper
Midwest, and the Great Lakes. Greatest snowfall accumulations
ranging from 6 to 10 inches are possible for the Central Plains,
and Upper Midwest/Great Lakes through Sunday evening. Rainfall
accumulations of up to 2 to 4 inches are possible across the Lower
Mississippi, Tennessee, and Ohio Valleys, with up to 1 inch across
the Mid-Atlantic by Sunday night. 

The next storm summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 200 PM MST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.

Kebede




Last Updated: 1009 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2019