The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 06 for Southwest to Midwest Winter Storm and
Lower Mississippi Valley Heavy Rainfall
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM MST Sat Feb 23 2019

...Ongoing heavy snow and rain across the Central Plains. Heavy
rain for parts of the Lower Mississippi/Tennessee/Ohio Valleys and
Mid-Atlantic... 

Blizzard Warnings are in effect for parts of the Central Plains,
Middle Mississippi Valley and Upper Midwest.

Winter Storm Warnings, Watches, and Advisories are in effect for
parts of the Northern/Central Plains, Middle Mississippi Valley
and Upper Midwest/Great Lakes.

Flash Flood Warnings and Watches as well as Flood Warnings and
Advisories are in effect for the Lower Mississippi Valley up
through the Tennessee/Ohio Valleys and Mid-Atlantic.

High Wind Warnings and Watches are in effect across the Great
Lakes.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 100 PM MST...A surface low with a central pressure of 996 mb,
or 29.41 inches of mercury, was located over central Kansas. This
low was occluded with a cold front extending southwestward through
eastern Texas and into Mexico. A warm front extended across the
Southeastern states before exiting into the Atlantic near
Jacksonville, Florida. A new surface low developed off of the
Carolina coast. National Weather Service Doppler radar and surface
observations indicated snow from the Panhandle of Oklahoma up
through Western Kansas and into central Nebraska. Moderate to
heavier snowfall rates with blizzard conditions locally were
observed over central Kansas and southeastern Nebraska.
Additionally, light snow and rain were observed across the Upper
Midwest/Great Lakes. Meanwhile, moderate to heavy rainfall ensues
over the Lower Mississippi/Tennessee/Ohio Valleys and the
Mid-Atlantic as moisture continued to advect northward from the
Gulf of Mexico. 

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 500 AM
MST Thu Feb 21 through 100 PM MST Sat Feb 23...

...COLORADO...
ARAPAHOE 5 SW                         7.0                    

...KANSAS...
PLYMELL 2 ENE                        10.0                    
TRIBUNE                               9.0                    
WALLACE 8 SSW                         9.0                    
HOLCOMB 3 NW                          5.0                    
SCOTT CITY                            5.0                    
WALDO 6 SSW                           5.0                    
GARDEN CITY                           4.5                    
LEOTI                                 4.5                    
ELLIS                                 4.0                    
RUSSEL                                3.0                    
SYRACUSE                              3.0                    

...MINNESOTA...
INTL. FALLS                           4.8                    
MAPLE LAKE 5 NNE                      3.1                    
HUTCHINSON 1 NE                       3.0                    
MONTROSE 2 NE                         2.8                    
OAK GROVE                             2.0                    

...NEBRASKA...
VALENTINE 4 N                         2.0                    

...SOUTH DAKOTA...
FREDERICK 5 NNE                       6.0                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 500 AM
MST Thu Feb 21 through 100 PM MST Sat Feb 23...

...ALABAMA...
HODGES                                7.06                    
OWENS CROSSROADS 5 WSW                6.75                    
DIME                                  6.57                    
HUNTSVILLE                            6.44                    
ATHENS                                6.27                    
MUSCLE SHOALS                         6.18                    
FALKVILLE                             6.14                    
RED BAY 11 NE                         6.10                    
GRAYSON 4 N                           6.06                    
WILSON DAM                            5.72                    
CHEROKEE                              5.14                    
TOWN CREEK                            5.06                    
FLORENCE                              5.02                    
DECATUR                               4.34                    

...ARKANSAS...
ARKANSAS POST NATIONAL PARK           5.73                    
FELSENTHAL NWR                        5.47                    
PINE BLUFF                            4.98                    
MONTGOMERY POINT LOCK                 4.90                    
MONTICELLO MUNICIPAL APT              4.70                    
MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREEENVILLE    4.29                    
DEEP BAYOU NEAR STAR CITY             4.07                    
UAM                                   3.80                    
SALINE RIVER NEAR RYE 4 SW            3.75                    
BAYOU BARTHOLOMEW                     3.36                    

...GEORGIA...
MACEDONIA                             2.83                    
DAHLONEGA                             2.54                    
TITUS                                 2.52                    
BLAIRSVILLE APT                       2.50                    
CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER AT HELEN          2.49                    
TALLULAH                              2.48                    
HIAWASSEE 5 SE                        2.41                    

...ILLINOIS...
ALEDO                                 0.91                    

...IOWA...
OAKLAND MILLS 3 W                     1.22                    
PARNELL                               1.14                    

...KENTUCKY...
MURRAY KYLE OAKLEY FIELD              1.99                    
LONDON-CORBIN APT                     1.90                    
WHITLEY CITY                          1.33                    

...LOUISIANA...
CANEY                                 2.60                    
BASTROP MOREHOUSE MEMORIAL APT        2.18                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
TIE PLANT 5 WSW                       9.91                    
TUPELO                                9.59                    
GRENADA 1 SW                          8.31                    
TALLAHATCHIE RIVER AT MONEY           7.54                    
BATESVILLE                            7.32                    
BLACK BAYOU EAST OF GREENVILLE        7.01                    
BERCLAIR 4 NW                         6.96                    
YALLABUSHA                            6.57                    
HIGHWAY 41                            6.15                    
MOORHEAD                              6.01                    
LELAND 3 ENE                          5.88                    
MAIN CANAL NEAR LONGWOOD              5.60                    
MS DELTA 4                            5.60                    
GEESLIN CORNER 4W                     5.27                    
PONTOTOC                              5.16                    
INDIANOLA 1WNW                        5.15                    
MS DELTA 5                            4.83                    
HOLCUT RAIN                           4.79                    
GREENWOOD                             4.75                    
QUIVER RIVER AT DODSVILLE             4.57                    
TISHOMINGO                            4.48                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
CULLOWHEE                             3.53                    
OTTO                                  3.18                    
HIGHLANDS                             3.11                    
MOUNT AIRY                            2.15                    
SILVERSTONE 1 E                       1.64                    
SHELBY MUNICIPAL APT                  1.62                    
ASHEVILLE REGIONAL APT                1.57                    
LEXINGTON                             0.94                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
ANDREW PICKENS                        3.79                    
SLICKING MTN                          2.83                    
SUNFISH MTN NEAR ROCKY BOTTOM         2.63                    
TABLE ROCK                            2.47                    
TRAMMEL GAP NEAR TIGERVILLE           2.41                    

...TENNESSEE...
KNOXVILLE                             5.45                    
ROCKWOOD MUNICIPAL APT                4.89                    
COLLINWOOD                            4.70                    
PULASKI ABERNATHY FIELD APT           4.66                    
SAVANNAH                              4.20                    
LEOMA                                 4.17                    
DUNN NEAR LAWRENCEBURG                4.10                    
MCMINNVILLE                           3.68                    
LAWRENCEBURG                          3.52                    
PICKWICK DAM                          3.43                    
FRANKEWING                            3.27                    
IRON CITY                             3.06                    
JACKSBORO                             2.33                    
HARDIN CO                             1.92                    
MEMPHIS INTL APT                      1.38                    

...VIRGINIA...
COPPER HILL                           3.71                    
TINKER CREEK                          2.94                    
VIRGINIA TECH APT                     2.62                    
MASON CREEK                           2.49                    
TROUTVILLE                            2.26                    
MAGGODEE CREEK                        2.09                    
ROANOKE                               1.77                    

...WEST VIRGINIA...
BLUEFIELD                             1.03                    

...Selected preliminary Peak Wind gusts in miles per hour earlier
in the event...

...TEXAS...
NORTHEAST EL PASO                     69                    
SOUTH FRANKLIN PEAK                   67                    
NORTHRUP STRIP                        63                    
SAN AUGUSTIN PASS                     62                    
HACHITA 15 SSW                        61                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches where the
event has ended...

...ARIZONA...
KACHINA VILLAGE                      48.0                    
FOREST LAKES                         43.0                    
MUNDS PARK 1 E                       43.0                    
MORMON LAKE                          40.0                    
FLAGSTAFF AIRPORT                    38.9                    
WILLIAMS 5 S                         38.3                    
WASHINGTON PARK                      35.0                    
MOUNTAINAIRE                         33.0                    
KOHLS RANCH                          32.0                    
PINE 4 S                             32.0                    
CROW KING                            30.0                    
SUMMERHAVEN 1 W                      30.0                    
DOWNTOWN FLAGSTAFF 2 SW              29.5                    
HEBER-OVERHAARD                      28.0                    
PRESCOTT COURTHOUSE 1 SW             28.0                    
IRON SPRINGS                         27.2                    
PAYSON 2 N                           27.0                    
STRAWBERRY 2 W                       27.0                    
HANNIGAN MEADOW                      25.0                    
MORENCI 40 N                         25.0                    
TUCSON 19 SE                          6.0                    

...COLORADO...
ROCKWOOD 6.9 NNW                     23.2                    
DURANGO 4.8 WSW                      18.7                    
MONTICELLO 1SW                       16.0                    
HESPERUS 9.8 SW                      15.2                    
DOVE CREEK 12.4 SSW                  14.0                    
BLANDING                             13.0                    
DOLORES 4.8 ENE                      12.5                    
PARK RESERVOIR                       12.0                    
WOLF CREEK PASS 1 SE                 11.0                    
DOUGLAS PASS                         10.0                    
PAGOSA SPRINGS 11NW                  10.0                    
REDMESA 4.2NW                        10.0                    
PLACERVILLE 9 NE                      9.3                    
VALLEY OF THE GODS                    9.0                    
CAMP JACKSON                          8.0                    
TRIMBLE 5 ESE                         8.0                    
MESA 6S                               7.0                    

...NEVADA...
MT CHARLESTON 1 NNW                  10.5                    
SUMMERLIN 1 NW                        7.5                    

...NEW MEXICO...
GALLUP 5 W                           15.0                    
TOADLENA 5SSW                        12.0                    
TOHATCHI                             12.0                    
BLUEWATER LAKE 11 WSW                11.0                    
LUNA 6 SSE                           11.0                    
PREWITT 5 WSW                        10.0                    
PIETOWN                               8.0                    
ALBUQUERQUE 6 ENE                     4.0                    
CLOVERDALE                            4.0                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches where the
event has ended...

...ARIZONA...
SANTA CRUZ RIVER @INA RD              3.78                    
BISBEE TUNNEL                         3.27                    
CALABASAS CANYON                      2.05                    
ARIVACA LAKE                          1.81                    
THREE FORKS 12 SSE                    1.60                    
ALDER CANYON NEAR MT. LEMMON          1.50                    
CHUICHU 7SW                           1.44                    
FLORENCE 6 SE                         1.41                    
NOGALES 4W                            1.37                    
WELL D-37                             1.34                    
THREE FORKS 15S                       1.31                    


The storm over central Kansas will progress through the Upper
Midwest/Great Lakes regions through Sunday evening. During this
time, the new surface low is expected to connect with the warm
front and advance northward overnight on Saturday. These two
systems are expected to merge Saturday evening and track
northeastward. Ahead of the system, moderate to heavy rain is
expected to continue across the Mississippi, Tennessee, and Ohio
Valleys, as well as the Mid-Atlantic, throughout Sunday. This
system is also expected to bring moderate to heavy snowfall across
the Central Plains, Upper Midwest, and the Great Lakes through
Sunday. Snowfall accumulations of up to 15 inches are possible for
the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes through Sunday evening. Additional
rainfall accumulations of up to an inch possible for the Lower
Mississippi, Tennessee, and Ohio Valleys, with up to 1.5 inches
possible across the Mid-Atlantic by Sunday night. 

The next storm summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 800 PM MST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.

Kebede




Last Updated: 401 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019