The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 1 for Southern Plains Heavy Rain
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...Significant heavy rainfall is forecast to fall over the
Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley today, further
exasperating ongoing flood issues in the region...

Flood Warnings are in effect east of the DFW Metro, and further
southeast along the Gulf Coast.

Flash Flood Watches are in effect across the eastern half of the
Southern PLains into the Lower Mississippi Valley.

A Tornado Watch is in effect over portions of Southeast Texas.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 300 PM CDT...National Weather Service Doppler RADAR detected
several complexes of thunderstorms progressing through the
Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley. The first was
located over Southeast Oklahoma, extending southward into East
Texas as it raced eastward towards the ArkLaTex border. Additional
thunderstorm development was noted along the southern end of this
line. A second, smaller complex was detected north of San Antonio,
progressing eastward. In Louisiana, showers and thunderstorms were
inching northward in the Southeast Part of the state, roughly
between a Lafayette to Baton Rogue line. At the surface, several
outflow boundaries were analyzed in Southern Texas and Louisiana
associated with the thunderstorm activity.      

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 700 AM
CDT Sat May 17 through 300 PM CDT Wed May 18...

...LOUISIANA...
LAKE CHARLES 2 SSW                  15.07                    
LAKE CHARLES 1 WSW                  12.49                    
SHENADOAH 1.5 S                     11.40                    
BATON ROGUE 4.0 SSE                 11.00                    
IOWA 0.9 ESE                         6.14                    
BATON ROGUE 2.7 SW                   6.13                    
CARENCRO 3.9 ENE                     5.80                    
CHURCH POINT 0.7 WSW                 4.74                    
SLIDELL 3.2 E                        4.11                    
NEW ORLEANS 3.8 WSW                  3.89                    

...TEXAS...
FANNETT 5 WNW                       12.53                    
PORT ARTUHUR 6 SSW                  10.72                    
NEDERLAND 1.8 W                      6.50                    
BEAUMONT 3.3 SW                      3.76                    


Through midweek, a weak frontal system and outflows from previous
thunderstorms may help to provide convergent areas that storms
could form along. Additional rainfall of 3 to 6 inches is forecast
to be widespread across much of eastern Texas and into western
Louisiana through Thursday, with locally even higher amounts
possible. Moderate Risks of excessive rainfall and Flash Flood
Watches are in place.

The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 400 PM CDT Wed May 19 2021. Please refer to your local
National Weather Service office for additional information on this
event.

Asherman/Tate




Last Updated: 608 PM EDT TUE MAY 18 2021