The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 1 for Intermountain West to Midwest Winter
Storm, as well as Excessive Rainfall from the Lower Missisippi
Valley into the Tennessee Valley
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
900 AM CST Sat Jan 01 2022

...The threat of heavy snow and wintry precipitation will expand
into the Great Plains and Midwest, as the potential for heavy rain
and flash flood increases in the Southeast and Ohio Valley ...

Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for eastern Utah, the Colorado
Rockies, western New Mexico, northern Kansas, southern Nebraska,
southern Iowa, northern Missouri and northwestern Illinois.

Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for eastern Colorado,
northern New Mexico, the Texas and Oklahoma panhandle, southern
Kansas, southern Missouri, southern Michigan and counties
surrounding areas under a Winter Storm Warning.

Flash Flood Watches are in effect for extreme eastern Oklahoma,
northern Arkansas, southern Missouri, Kentucky, western Tennessee
and stretching into southern Ohio, western West Virginia and
extreme southwestern Pennsylvania.

Wind Advisories are in effect for southern Louisiana, northern
Mississippi, Alabama, and eastern Tennessee.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 800 AM CST...Several areas of low pressure were located along a
strong frontal boundary extending from the Colorado Rockies
eastward into the Northeast. The strongest low pressure was
located in the panhandle of Texas with a central pressure of 999
millibars or 29.50 inches of mercury. A cold front extended
eastward from this low pressure into central Oklahoma, southern
Missouri and Illinois and into central Indiana and Ohio. Several
additional areas of low pressure were located along this frontal
boundary. Current RADAR and surface observations indicate moderate
snow had been falling in the central Plains and Midwest north of
the cold front. A thin area of wintry precipitation extended from
central Oklahoma into southern Kansas and central Missouri. South
of the frontal boundary, a broad area of moderate to heavy
rainfall stretched from southern Oklahoma eastward through the
lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast, and into the Mid-Atlantic.
Pockets of heavier rainfall have developed along a secondary
frontal boundary that reached from southwestern Arkansas into
extreme western Tennessee and Kentucky.

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 1200
AM CST Thu Dec 30 through 800 AM CST Sat Jan 01...

...COLORADO...
MOUNT CRESTED BUTTE 4 NNW            21.0                    
COAL BANK PASS                       16.0                    
LONGS PEAK 4 NNW                     15.6                    
MOUNT ZIRKEL 4 SE                    15.6                    
MOLAS PASS                           15.0                    
GLENDEVEY 9 E                        13.0                    
GOULD 9 SSE                          13.0                    
WOLF CREEK PASS 1 SE                 13.0                    
GENESEE 1 NNW                        11.8                    
DENVER                                4.0                    

...KANSAS...
LEOTI                                 5.0                    
HOXIE                                 2.0                    
OAKLEY                                2.0                    

...NEBRASKA...
STAPLETON 5 WSW                       2.6                    
NORTH PLATTE 3 ENE                    2.5                    
ANSELMO 2 SE                          1.8                    

...NEW MEXICO...
CHUPADERO 7 E                        13.0                    
ANGEL FIRE 3 E                       12.0                    
CANON PLAZA 11 NNW                   12.0                    
RED RIVER                            12.0                    

...WYOMING...
BATTLE CREEK CAMP 6 WSW              30.0                    
WHISKEY PARK 1 NW                    23.4                    
DEEP CREEK CAMPGROUND W              22.0                    
SUGAR LOAF CAMPGROUND 5 WSW          22.0                    
HOG PARK RESERVOIR 4 NW              21.6                    
NASH FORK CAMPGROUND ENE             20.0                    
JACK CREEK CAMPGROUND 2 NW           16.5                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 1200
AM CST Sat Dec 30 through 800 AM CST Mon Jan 01...

...ARKANSAS...
CUSHMAN                              6.28                    

...KENTUCKY...
MURRAY                               3.70                    


Over the next 12 hours, the streghtening storm system along the
strong frontal boundary will produce a broad swath of 6-12 inches
of snow across the Great Plains and Midwest. An area of freezing
rain and sleet will be possible from eastern Kansas extending into
Missouri and central Illinois, where ice accretions of 0.01 - 0.10
inches may occur. On the southern side of the frontal boundary,
heavy rainfall amounts are likely, leading to a Moderate Risk of
excessive rainfall being issued by the Weather Prediction Center
for central Arkansas, southern Missouri and Illinois, Kentucky,
southern Ohio and western West Virginia. Rainfall totals within
the Moderate Risk are forecast to range between 2 to 4 inches with
locally higher amounts possible. In addition to the potential for
flash flooding, the Storm Prediction Center has issued an Enhanced
risk of severe thunderstorms for western Tennessee and northern
portions of Mississippi and Alabama, where the threat of damaging
winds and tornadoes will increase as we continue into the
afternoon and evening hours.

The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 900 PM CST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.

Russell




Last Updated: 1015 AM EST SAT JAN 01 2022