The Weather Prediction Center

College Park, MD


Storm Summary Message



Storm Summary Number 05 for Northern Plains, Mississippi Valley,
and Central/Southern Appalachians Winter Storm
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
900 AM CST Sun Jan 16 2022

...Winter Storm to track through the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic
today; heaviest snow and ice expected in the central/western
Carolinas...

Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for portions of the Lower
Mississippi Valley, Southeast, Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley,
Lower Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast.

Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for portions of the Lower
Mississippi Valley, Southeast, Tennessee Valley, Mid-Atlantic,
Ohio Valley, Lower Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast.

Ice Storm Warnings are in effect for portions of northwest South
Carolina and far northeast Georgia.

Winter Storm Watches are in effect for portions of the Ohio
Valley, Lower Great Lakes, and interior Northeast.

High Wind Warnings are in effect for portions of northern Georgia,
the Blue Ridge Mountains in eastern Tennessee, and along the
eastern shoreline from North Carolina to northern Maine.

Wind Advisories are in effect along the eastern Gulf of Mexico
from Mississippi to Florida, for portions of the Southeast, and
along the eastern shoreline to southern New England.

For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
and advisories, please see www.weather.gov

At 800 AM CST...A surface low with a central pressure of 998 mb,
or 29.47 inches of Mercury, was analyzed over eastern Alabama at
approximately 33.1N, 85.5W. An occluded front winding
east/southeast from the low pressure center connected to a
secondary low in southern Georgia. From this secondary low, a cold
front trailed south through western Florida while a warm front
extended through southeast Georgia. Doppler radar and surface
observations indicated that mixed precipitation was falling
throughout portions of the Southeast, Tennessee Valley, and
southern Mid-Atlantic. Patches of freezing rain were also observed
from Tennessee to Kentucky and throughout the Carolinas. Moderate
snow was falling over an area from far western South Carolina to
south/southwest Virginia. In the warm sector of the system Doppler
radar detected both stratiform and convective rainfall, with
strong storms along and ahead of the trailing cold front.

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches from 300 PM
CST Thu Jan 13 through 800 AM CST Sun Jan 16...

...GEORGIA...
TIGER 1.9 W                           6.0                    
CLARKESVILLE 6 NNE                    5.6                    
CORNELIA                              5.0                    

...MISSISSIPPI...
SHOCCOE 3 NNE                         7.8                    
GOSHEN SPRINGS                        6.0                    
MARION 1 SSW                          1.5                    
PRESTON                               1.5                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
EAST FLAT ROCK 3 SSW                 12.0                    
BREVARD                              10.0                    
ZIRCONIA 3.5 WSW                     10.0                    
HENDERSONVILLE 4.4 NW                 9.5                    
SAPPHIRE 4.6 W                        9.0                    
SCALY                                 8.0                    
HARMONY 1 SSE                         7.0                    
MILLS RIVER 1.1 N                     6.3                    
MAGGIE VALLEY 2.9 ENE                 6.1                    
CHERRYVILLE 2.2 SSE                   6.0                    
TRYON 3.5 ENE                         5.1                    
JONAS RIDGE 1.4 S                     4.0                    
DAVIDSON 0.4 SE                       2.5                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
GREENVILLE 6 NNE                      6.2                    
BOILING SPRINGS                       6.0                    
TAYLORS 6.1 NNW                       5.6                    
SPARTANSBURG 5.1 WSW                  5.1                    
SIMPSONVILLE 2.7 W                    5.0                    

...TENNESSEE...
SANTA FE 9 NNE                        2.8                    
COLLIERVILLE                          2.3                    
CEDAR GROVE                           2.0                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Freezing Rain ice amounts in
inches from 300 PM CST Thu Jan 13 through 800 AM CST Sun Jan 16...

...KENTUCKY...
BOWLING GREEN 1 N                    0.03                    
SCOTTSVILLE                          0.01                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
LONGWOOD                             0.10                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
FORT LAWN                            0.18                    
COLUMBIA 1 NNW                       0.01                    
NEWBERRY                             0.01                    
PAGELAND                             0.01                    

...Selected preliminary Peak Wind gusts in miles per hour earlier
in the event...

...FLORIDA...
SAINT GEORGE ISLAND 18 S               58                    
SIESTA KEY 3 NW                        54                    
OKAHUMPKA 4 S                          51                    
GAINSVILLE 1 NW                        48                    
ALLIGATOR POINT                        43                    
APALACHEE BAY                          42                    

...KANSAS...
GARDEN CITY 1 ENE                      69                    
FT. DODGE 2 NW                         66                    
DODGE CITY 3 ENE                       65                    
LIBERAL 2 WSW                          62                    
MCCONNELL                              45                    
NEWTON CITY ARPT                       44                    
RUSSELL MUNI ARPT                      41                    

...NEBRASKA...
BROKEN BOW                             60                    
NORTH PLATTE 10WNW                     59                    
VALENTINE 1ENE                         59                    
IMPERIAL AIRPORT                       58                    
CRESCENT LAKE                          56                    
VALENTINE AIRPORT                      55                    
AINSWORTH AIRPORT                      52                    
GORDON AIRPORT                         52                    
MERRITT DAM 13WNW                      52                    
THEDFORD AIRPORT                       52                    
OGALLALA AIRPORT                       48                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
DEWEES ISLAND 5 ESE                    53                    
FRIPP ISLAND 5 ESE                     47                    

...OKLAHOMA...
TIPTON 4 S                             71                    
GUYMON 1 WSW                           66                    
CHICKASHA 3 NW                         64                    
FREDERICK 3 SE                         63                    
BESSIE 4 WNW                           62                    
ENID WOODRING REG ARPT                 48                    
VANCE AFB                              46                    
CLINTON REG ARPT                       45                    
ELK CITY REG ARPT                      40                    
LAWTON MUNI ARPT                       40                    
OKC WILL ROGERS WORLD ARPT             40                    

...SOUTH DAKOTA...
DWTN RAPID CITY 1 E                    66                    
ELLSWORTH AFB 7 NNE                    65                    

...TEXAS...
AMARILLO                               68                    
DALHART 3 SW                           68                    
CHILDRESS 2 W                          67                    
MIAMI                                  66                    
ABERNATHY 5 ENE                        65                    
BURNETT MUN ARPT                       53                    
DALLAS LOVE FIELD ARPT                 48                    
MESQUITE METRO ARPT                    46                    
SAN ANTONIO INT'L ARPT                 45                    

...Selected preliminary Storm Total Snowfall in inches where the
event has ended...

...ARKANSAS...
CANAAN 3 S                           12.0                    
HARRISON                             12.0                    
ST. JOE 2.7 WNW                      11.2                    
DEER                                  9.5                    
COWELL                                8.0                    
METALTON 3.5 W                        4.6                    
FORT SMITH AR                         2.5                    
FAYETTEVILLE                          2.0                    

...ILLINOIS...
QUINCY 1 E                            7.5                    
COLUSA 2 NNE                          5.2                    
MACOMB 1 WNW                          5.2                    
QUAD CITY ARPT 3 SW                   4.6                    
JERSEYVILLE 2 SW                      3.5                    
BARRY                                 3.0                    
PEORIA 2 NW                           2.7                    
HANOVER                               2.5                    

...IOWA...
DES MOINES INT'L ARPT                14.3                    
ALGONA 0.7 SE                        13.2                    
JOHNSTON 3.7 NNW                     12.9                    
WEST DES MOINES 2.0 W                11.7                    
OTTUMWA 2 NE                         11.5                    
WAUKEE 1.2 ENE                       11.0                    
FORT DODGE 1.6 ENE                   10.0                    
POLK CITY 1.0 N                       9.0                    
MINBURN 2 WSW                         8.5                    
MURRAY 0.5 N                          8.0                    
WATERLOO 1.9 SSE                      7.3                    
BLOOMFIELD 8.4 NNE                    7.0                    
IOWA FALLS                            7.0                    

...KANSAS...
LAWRENCE 2 WNW                        4.5                    
BASEHOR 1 SW                          3.5                    
FAIRWAY 1 E                           3.4                    
LENEXA 2.0 NE                         3.4                    
LAKE QUIRVA 0.6 W                     3.0                    

...MINNESOTA...
GARVIN                               10.0                    
FAIRMONT 0.7 E                        9.4                    
GRANITE FALLS                         9.0                    
MADISON 1 ESE                         9.0                    
MARSHALL                              9.0                    
DAWSON                                8.0                    
WILMAR 5 N                            7.2                    
MANKATO 1.3 SW                        7.0                    
PRINSBURG 0.1 WNW                     7.0                    
OWATONNA                              6.5                    
MINNEAPOLIS INT'L ARPT                3.7                    

...MISSOURI...
CHARLIE HEATH MEM 2 SSE               8.0                    
KIRKSVILLE 1 ENE                      8.0                    
RIDGEDALE                             8.0                    
EWING                                 7.5                    
MANSFIELD                             7.0                    
PRINCETON                             6.5                    
BRANSON WEST                          6.0                    
BRANSON 3.8 E                         5.0                    
UTICA 1 N                             5.0                    
SUMMERSVILLE 3.6 S                    4.2                    
HANNIBAL                              4.0                    
BROOKFIELD 3.7 NNE                    3.9                    
PLATTE WOODS 1 NW                     3.5                    
KANSAS CITY 8.0 SSW                   3.4                    
CARTHAGE 4.5 E                        3.0                    
COLUMBIA 4 NE                         3.0                    

...NEBRASKA...
TECUMSEH 1 S                          6.0                    
OMAHA 1 NNW                           4.5                    

...NORTH DAKOTA...
CASSELTON 4ENE                       16.0                    
KARLSRUHE                            12.0                    
VELVA                                12.0                    
LANSFORD                             11.2                    
GRANVILLE                            10.0                    
MINOT AFB                            10.0                    
TOWNER 7N                            10.0                    
UPHAM                                10.0                    
WILLOW CITY                           9.5                    
MAXBASS 4.9ENE                        8.5                    
BOTTINEAU                             8.0                    
CATHAY 6.5N                           8.0                    
EMRICK 6NE                            8.0                    

...OKLAHOMA...
HAWORTH                               4.3                    
IDABEL 1 SSW                          2.5                    

...SOUTH DAKOTA...
MILBANK                              10.0                    
SISSETON 3.8 W                        9.4                    
BIG STONE CITY 5 S                    8.5                    
LABOLT 0.1 WSW                        8.0                    
BROOKINGS 1 WNW                       6.0                    
BRUCE 5.3 W                           6.0                    
CURRIE 4N                             6.0                    
LAKE PRESETON                         6.0                    
VOLGA                                 5.0                    
JACKSON                               4.5                    
SPENCER                               4.5                    
WATERTOWN                             3.9                    

...WISCONSIN...
MINNEISKA 4 SE                        4.0                    
PRAIRIE DU CHIEN                      3.6                    
POTTSVILLE 6 NE                       2.9                    
DOUGLASS 5 ESE                        2.8                    
BENTON 0.3 WNW                        2.7                    
MONDOVI 12.1 SSE                      2.5                    
NORWALK                               2.5                    
RIVER FALLS 1.2 SSW                   2.5                    
LA CROSSE                             2.0                    


Throughout the day the occluded system is forecast to slowly
progress northeast while slightly strengthening as the two low
pressure centers are expected to converge later today over the
Carolinas. The most significant snow accumulations will likely
occur in a narrow swath from Tennessee to Kentucky and along the
Blue Ridge Mountains, where snowfall rates exceeding 1-2" per hour
will be possible. Dangerous icy conditions with accumulations up
to and exceeding 0.25" are also expected for the Carolina Piedmont
and far northwest Georgia.

The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
Center at 900 PM CST. Please refer to your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this event.

Zavadoff




Last Updated: 1129 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2022