NCEP Synergy Meeting
Highlights: May 12, 2014
This meeting was led by
Wallace Hogsett (WPC) and attended by Keith Brill
(WPC); Becky Cosgrove and Chris Caruso-Magee (NCO); Hendrik Tolman,
Stephen Barry, Geoff DiMego, John Derber,
DaNa Carlis, Vera Gerald,
and Mary Hart (EMC); Kathy Gilbert and colleagues (MDL); Ben Schwedler (AWC); Pat Marsh (SPC); Brian Miretzky
and Jeff Waldstreicher (ER); Jeff Craven (CR); Andy Edman (WR); John Kelley and AJ Zhang (NOS); Richard Pasch
FROM NCO (Chris Caruso-Magee
and Becky Cosgrove)
- The HighRes
Window parallel ended on May 14, and the briefing to Ming Ji was on May 27. Implementation is scheduled for June
3, but may be slightly delayed.
- NCO will test five HWRF storms along side the rapid refresh to make sure everything
fits on computer.
- HWRF briefing is not yet
scheduled, and the GFDL will be a week behind the HWRF. Tentative dates
for the HWRF/GFDL are June 3/10.
- P-Surge is running much slower
(too slow to be useful for NHC) and IBM is working to speed it up.
- The NAM will be delayed; 30-day
expected to begin week of June 2
- 30-day parallel for the wave
ensemble will begin soon
- NCO is doing pre-implementation
tests for the GFS
- NLDAS and STOFS Pacific were
both restarted last week; tentative implementation late June or early
- GFS data will be turned off on
June 3 (old GRIB1 195km grid, legacy fax and redbook
graphics) and should not affect anyone.
- HRRR and GFS SBN reorganization
projects to get data into AWIPS2 are going well and are well coordinated
across regions. For the GFS, a 1-degree global dataset, and a suite of
20km grids (one per region) will be included.
- Itís time to start thinking
about what needs to get into the SREC process; feedback welcome.
- MDL is running into problems
calibrating MOS from the new GFS. The new GFS is different.
2. NOTES FROM EMC
Global Climate and Weather Modeling Branch (GCWMB) (John Derber)
GFS is moving forward; no major issues with the system. No major
improvements, but some improvements within the error bars.
is a small change to the Bufr sounding code.
challenging to get a sufficient number of parallels. HWRF team will begin
retrospective tests on 2013 soon; every 12z forecast starting from the
beginning of the year. They are restarting the 2012 season now.
GFS code is essentially frozen; WPC will begin looking at fields soon.
is concerned about some degradations to a few
East Pacific storms.
Mesoscale Modeling Branch (MMB) (Geoff DiMego)
HRRR pieces are in place except for post and product generation; hourly
cycle was turned on this week. Overall, itís good news.
NAM has been submitted to NCO and it is looking solid. A real-time
parallel is running now.
windows are looking good as the parallel comes to a close.
URMA, EMC turned off a list of rejected stations in collaboration with
Western Region. The list was old.
parallel SREF is in the works, but nothing is set in stone yet.
Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch (MMAB) (Hendrik Tolman)
had kickoff meeting with NCO for the global hurricane wave model. Physics
upgrade will be included, and EMC is trying to unify the software. Will
run test cases with HWRF and GFDL winds.
work was accelerated due to a misestimation of
time for backside implementation; hopefully it will occur about six weeks
later than originally planned.
Atlantic will be updated, including calibration of tides and
retrospectives. It is scheduled for late summer, but waiting to see when
Navy upgrades global HYCOM so EMC can update in lockstep.
wonít reintroduce DA into the wave model. Maybe in Q1 or Q2, but not Q4 of
this year. Will upgrade Great Lakes model using NDFD winds in Q4.
OCEAN SERVICE (NOS, John
Kelley & AJ):
Bay OFS was implemented. NOS is preparing the OFS
and GOM packages for NCO.
are some bugs in the ROMS model, and an RFC will be submitted for the
Chesapeake Bay, Tampa, and others. No schedule yet.
RFC forecast guidance is getting into the tank coded in Bufr. Some data is going over to dcomdev.
The RAP and other groups may be interested in ice data from the NIC.
FROM MDL/OPERATIONAL CENTERS/REGIONS
4a. MDL (Kathy Gilbert):
MDL is working with the
SREC team to compile guidance that hasnít made it into AWIPS2, e.g., Hawaii,
CONUS 2.5km grids.
4b. NCEP Centers and NWS
Center (WPC, Wallace Hogsett): Nothing to report.
Storm Prediction Center
(SPC, Pat Marsh): Nothing
The Spring Forecast
Experiment is ongoing, and the HighRes Windows are
part of the evaluation.
Center (NHC, Richard Pasch):
Nothing to report
Space Weather Prediction
Center (SWPC, no representative):
Ocean Prediction Center
(OPC, Joe Sienkiewicz): Nothing to report.
Aviation Weather Center
(AWC, Ben Schwedler): HRW evaluation ongoing
Pacific Region (PR, no representative):
Alaska Region (AR, no representative):
Eastern Region (ER, Brian Miretzky,
Jeff Waldstreicher): Nothing to report
Western Region (WR, Andy Edman): Nothing to report
Southern Region (SR, no representative):
Central Region (CR, Jeff Craven): Big focus in next several months is to spin up C&V and
aviation fields into the Central Region CONSSHORT blend, so a few offices can
test out Boston method for TAFs out of GFE grids. That will take about a year.
Hope to expand to across region.
NESDIS (no representative):
The next Synergy Meeting will be held (tentatively) at 2:30 pm EST
on Monday, June 30 2014, in NCWCP conference room 2890, with remote