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TROPICAL SUMMARY NUMBER 6 FOR T.D. "BERTHA"
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NWS...CAMP SPRINGS MD
400 PM CDT MON AUG 5 2002

...BERTHA PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL GULF COAST...

A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER PEARL
RIVER. MONITOR WEATHER STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICES
THROUGHOUT THE GULF COAST FOR POTENTIAL FLASH FLOOD WATCHES OR 
WARNINGS.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.7 WEST WHICH IS
50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI NEAR THE TOWN OF LIBERTY.
BERTHA HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE
TO THE WEST WITH TIME... BRINGING THE CENTER ACROSS SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT SHOULD
MOVE ACROSS THE CITY OF ALEXANDRIA BY NOON TUESDAY.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 20 MPH MAINLY NEAR THE COASTS OF
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA AND TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. THE
HIGHEST GUST RECEIVED OVER LAND OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS WAS 21 MPH
AT MCCOMB MISSISSIPPI AT 2 PM CDT. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT PUSHES TOWARDS EASTERN TEXAS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES. 
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH BERTHA REMAINS HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE
INLAND FLOODING. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT OVER 10 INCHES OF
RAIN FELL TO THE EAST OF PASCAGOULA MS SINCE SUNDAY MORNING...
WITH SECONDARY MAXIMA OF OVER 6 INCHES IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
EAST OF SLIDELL AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND AN ADDITIONAL 
MAXIMUM OF 4 INCHES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
THE 30 HOUR STORM TOTAL RAINFALL FROM BERTHA...EXCEPT WHEN NOTED...
IS LISTED BELOW.

LOCATION              AMOUNT
========              ======
PASCAGOULA MS          6.90"  THROUGH 7 AM CDT
PASCAGOULA AP MS       6.84"   
VAN CLEAVE MS          4.22"  THROUGH 7 AM CDT
SLIDELL W-14 CANAL LA  3.58"  THROUGH 7 AM CDT 
SLIDELL WFO LA         3.47"
PENSACOLA FL           2.75"
DESTIN FL              2.75"
FAIR HOPE AL           1.08"  THROUGH 7 AM CDT

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES... LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 8 INCHES...ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND
THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST.  
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...31.1 N... 90.7 W. MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST 8
MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...
1011 MB. THE NEXT TROPICAL SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 10 PM CDT.

KELLS/ROTH/FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCH

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