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TROPICAL SUMMARY NUMBER 10 FOR T.D. "BERTHA"
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NWS...CAMP SPRINGS MD
4 PM CDT TUES AUG 6 2002

...T.D. BERTHA IS DRIFTING SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST OVER
CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL EAST OF
THE CENTER OVER PARTS OF EASTERN LOUISIANA AND EXTREME
SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.  A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BOGUE
CHITO RIVER NEAR BUSH LA... THE TCHEFUNCTE RIVER NEAR FOLSOM LA...
AND THE BOGUE FALAYA RIVER NEAR COVINGTON LA...AND PORTIONS OF
THE LOWER PEARL RIVER... A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST WHICH IS
APPROXIMATELY 34 MILES NORTH OF LAFAYETTE LA. 

BERTHA HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY SSW OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A SLOW TRACK  TO THE SW.  THIS TRACK
WOULD BRING IT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 11 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB.

AN AREA OF CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE ISOLATED AREAS OF 3 TO 5 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI OVERNIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.  STREAM FLOODING AND PONDING OF ROADWAYS REMAINS A
THREAT.   
SELECTED 30 HOUR STORM RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH 1 PM CDT ARE
LISTED BELOW.

LOCATION                      AMOUNT
=========                     =======
MCCOMB-PIKE COUNTY, MS        4.79"
TYLERTOWN-2WNW, MS            5.36" THROUGH 7AM 24 HOUR TOTAL
PASCAGOULA-LOTT, MS           1.42"     
FRANKLINTON-5SW, LA           7.49" THROUGH 7AM 24 HOUR TOTAL
ANGIE, LA                     4.04" THROUGH 7AM 24 HOUR TOTAL
NEW ORLEANS-LAKEFRONT, LA     0.42" 
MOBILE, AL                    1.12" 

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...30.7N...92.0W. MOVEMENT...DRIFTING
TO THE SSW OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 11 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB. THE
NEXT TROPICAL SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. 

HILDERBRAND/KELLS/FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCH

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