PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 53 FOR T.D. "LILI"
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...NWS...CAMP SPRINGS MD
1000 AM CDT FRI OCT 04 2002

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION "LILI " ENTERS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AS IT
TRAVELS NORTHEAST...

A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR TCHEFUNCTE, TANGIPAHOA
RIVERS AND BOGUE FALAYA IN LOUISIANA.  

AT 10 AM CDT ... 15Z... TROPICAL DEPRESSION "LILI " IS LOCATED
NEAR 37.4 N 88.7 W OR NEAR PADUCAH, KY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 30 MPH...MAINLY IN A RAIN BAND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB OR 29.50 INCHES. 

"LILI " HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH OVER THE LAST 6
HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE UNTIL IT IS ABSORBED BY A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TO ITS NORTH TONIGHT.  

SELECTED 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES (THRU 7 AM CDT):

ALEXANDRIA POWER PLANT, LA       4.95
FRANKLINTON 5 SW, LA             4.70
PICAYUNE, MS                     3.62
BAY ST. LOUIS, MS                3.58
EUDORA, AR                       2.97
DERMOTT, AR                      2.43

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES (THRU 7 AM CDT):

BURAS, LA                        8.40
BOOTHVILLE, LA                   7.19
SLIDELL, LA                      6.46

DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES ARE CONSISTENT WITH THE OBSERVATIONS
RECEIVED THUS FAR THIS MORNING...INDICATING A SWATH OF 5 INCHES
OF RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA WITH ANOTHER MAXIMUM OF 4 INCHES
ACROSS EASTERN MISSISSIPPI DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS ARE EXPECTED RANGE FROM 1 TO 2
INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND THE OHIO VALLEY TO
THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF "LILI".

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION ... 37.4 N  88.7 W... MOVEMENT
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH ... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH ...MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE ... 999 MB OR 29.50 INCHES.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 4 PM CDT.                                    
                                

ZIEGENFELDER / FORECAST OPERATIONS BRANCH

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