PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 13 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL052007
400 PM CDT FRI AUG 17 2007        

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN DRIFTING NORTHWEST ACROSS THE HILL
COUNTRY OF WEST TEXAS ...  FLOODING THREAT PERSISTS AS SCATTERED
HEAVY RAINS AFFECT MUCH OF TEXAS...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR TEXAS FROM MUCH OF THE
COAST...WESTWARD THROUGH THE HILL COUNTRY AND INTO PORTIONS OF
WEST TEXAS. 

FLOOD WATCH AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL TEXAS.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.8
WEST...ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KILOMETERS...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MIDLAND
TEXAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH...15 KT...21 KM/H.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS AS ERIN SLOWLY WEAKENS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...WITH A FEW
HIGHER GUSTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS AROUND
1009 MB...29.79 INCHES.

A CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT THE CENTER OF ERIN WITH WIDESPREAD BUT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REST OF
TEXAS...EXCEPT THE EXTREME SOUTH...WEST...AND NORTHWEST PANHANDLE.


SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 400 PM CDT
FRIDAY

...TEXAS...

HOUSTON METRO AREA

LOCKWOOD (HUNTING BAYOU) 	 9.61
SENS RD			 	 9.25
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU @8TH ST	 8.31
SIMS BAYOU @MARTIN LUTHER KING	 7.52
SOUTH MCGREGOR WAY	 	 7.05
HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD             3.18
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL         2.59
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY               2.22
HOUSTON/HULL FIELD               1.12

BOERNE 5.6 NE			10.23 THRU 7 AM FRIDAY
SAN ANTONIO/STINSON MUNI ARPT	 9.62
FAIR OAKS RANCH 10 NNE		 9.62 THRU 7 AM FRIDAY
FREDERICKSBURG 10.6 SSW		 8.26 THRU 7 AM FRIDAY
LACKLAND AFB 2.4 NW		 8.07 THRU 7 AM FRIDAY
HELOTES 1 ENE			 7.94 THRU 7 AM FRIDAY
GREY FOREST 0.2 N		 7.73 THRU 7 AM FRIDAY
KERRVILLE 5.9 SE		 7.46 THRU 7 AM FRIDAY
KELLY AFB/SAN ANTONIO		 7.22
GILLESPIE                        6.55 SINCE 12 AM FRIDAY 
6 WSW BOERNE			 5.84
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT            5.79
BANDERA 14.3 WNW		 5.70 THRU 7 AM FRIDAY
HONDO MUNI ARPT                  5.02 
PALACIOS MUNI ARPT               3.86
RANDOLPH AFB/UNIVERSAL CITY      3.17
JUNCTION/KIMBLE CO. AIRPORT      2.13
GALVESTON/SCHOLES                2.12
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT               1.69
AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT         1.38
ANGLETON/LAKE JACKSON            1.32


ERIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS WEST
TEXAS TONIGHT BEFORE TURNING NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST BY SATURDAY
MORNING ...SHIFTING THE MAIN THREAT FOR ORGANIZED HEAVY RAINFALL
NORTHWARD TOWARD THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.

ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WESTERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 8 INCHES ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION. TO
THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE SYSTEM...LOCALIZED AREAS COULD SEE
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH 2 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...31.1 NORTH...AND 101.8
WEST...NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT NEAR 13 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS AROUND 20 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. PLEASE
REFER TO YOUR LOCAL FORECAST OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONCERNING THIS SYSTEM.
 
KOCIN

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL    17/2100Z 31.1N 101.8W
12HR VT    18/0600Z 32.1N 102.2W
24HR VT    18/1800Z 33.8N 101.3W