PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 22 FOR REMNANTS OF ERIN
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL052007
1000 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007        

... ERIN NO LONGER A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUT HEAVY RAINS STILL A
THREAT...

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHWEST TO CENTRAL MISSOURI.

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CONTINUED FOR CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND SCATTERED
PORTIONS OF TEXAS.

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN DISSIPATED BETWEEN 400 PM
AND 700 PM CDT ALTHOUGH AN AREA OF PRESSURE FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE REMNANTS OF ERIN HAVE MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS. THE AREA OF
HEAVY RAINS HAS DIMINISHED DURING THE DAY BUT SCATTERED HEAVY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS EXTREME EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.  MOISTURE
FROM ERIN CONTINUES TO FEED NORTHWARD TOWARD A FRONTAL SYSTEM IN
THE MIDWEST.

THE REMNANTS OF ERIN ARE MOVING TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS
AND MISSOURI OVERNIGHT.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1000 PM
CDT SUNDAY

...TEXAS...

HOUSTON METRO AREA

LOCKWOOD (HUNTING BAYOU)        11.02 3 DAY TOTAL
SENS RD                          9.33 3 DAY TOTAL
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU @8TH ST       8.50 3 DAY TOTAL
SIMS BAYOU @MARTIN LUTHER KING   8.43 3 DAY TOTAL
SOUTH MCGREGOR WA                7.05
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL         5.51

BOERNE 5.6 NE                   10.23 THRU 7 AM SATURDAY
SAN ANTONIO/STINSON MUNI ARPT    9.62
FAIR OAKS RANCH 10 NNE           9.62 THRU 7 AM SATURDAY
OZONA 22 SE			 9.06 48 HOURS THRU 8AM SATURDAY
FREDERICKSBURG 10.6 SSW	         8.26 THRU 7 AM SATURDAY
LACKLAND AFB 2.4 NW              8.30 THRU 7 AM SATURDAY
HELOTES 1 ENE                    7.94 THRU 7 AM SATURDAY
GREY FOREST 0.2 N                7.73 THRU 7 AM SATURDAY
KERRVILLE 5.9 SE                 7.46 THRU 7 AM SATURDAY
KELLY AFB/SAN ANTONIO            7.46
HONDO 8.7E			 7.33 THRU 7 AM SATURDAY
EL DORADO			 7.19 48 HOURS THRU 8AM SATURDAY
WINTERS				 6.67 THRU 7 AM SATURDAY
GILLESPIE                        6.55 SINCE 12 AM FRIDAY
ROBERT LEE			 6.34 24 HOURS THRU 8AM SATURDAY
SAN ANGELO/MATHIS                5.96 
6 WSW BOERNE                     5.84
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT            5.79
BANDERA 14.3 WNW                 5.70 THRU 7 AM SATURDAY
ABILENE MUNI ARPT                5.56
HONDO MUNI ARPT                  5.02


...OKLAHOMA...

GEARY 9.8 WNW                   11.03 
FORT COBB                        9.04 
EL RENO                          8.33 
NORMAN 2.3 NNE                   8.12 
MINCO                            6.43 
MUSTANG 2.1 WNW                  6.38 
WALTERS                          6.15 
EDMOND 1.6 W                     5.46 
OKLAHOMA CITY                    5.39 
APACHE                           5.30 
WATONGA                          4.60
LAWTON MUNI AIRPORT		 4.42 


THE MAIN THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL INCLUDES NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI. ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THESE REGIONS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES. 

MOISTURE FROM THIS WEAKENING SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH
A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE MIDWEST THROUGH THE
OHIO VALLEY AND MIDATLANTIC STATES...ENHANCING RAINFALL THERE.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED FROM THE MIDWEST
INTO PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY.

SINCE FLOODING IS STILL CONSIDERED A SIGNIFICANT THREAT...THE NEXT
ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF ERIN WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 AM CDT MONDAY. PLEASE
REFER TO YOUR LOCAL FORECAST OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONCERNING THIS SYSTEM.
 
KOCIN