THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 43 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL072008
400 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2008

...GUSTAV DEPARTING THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... 

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF
LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...MISSISSIPPI...EXTREME EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND MUCH OF MISSOURI. FLOOD
AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS...MISSOURI AND EXTREME WESTERN
ILLINOIS. FOR MORE STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
 
AT 400 AM CDT...09Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 93.2 WEST...OR 80
MILES...129 KM...NORTHWEST OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS AND 110
MILES...177 KM...SOUTH OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI. 

GUSTAV IS MOVING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AT 11 MPH. THIS GENERAL
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AND GUSTAV
SHOULD PICK UP IN FORWARD SPEED AS IT ARRIVES INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL THURSDAY AS IT
INTERACTS AND BECOMES ABSORBED WITH A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1 AM CDT
THURSDAY...UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED.

...LOUISIANA...

LARTO LAKE                          19.00 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
JONESVILLE 7 SW                     17.70 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
WINNSBORO 5 SSE                     16.51 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
BUNKIE 0.3 WSW                      16.37 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
CLAYTON 4 NNW                       14.54 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
RED RIVER LOCK AND DAM              13.50 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
RAYVILLE                            12.13 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
BASTROP 3.2 NNE                     10.87 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
WEST MONROE 4.1 NW                  10.44 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
ALEXANDRIA                           9.50
MONROE                               9.43
BATON ROUGE                          4.81
FORT POLK                            4.33
LAFAYETTE                            3.50
NEW ORLEANS NAS                      3.10
LAKE CHARLES                         2.45
SHREVEPORT                           2.28
BARKSDALE AFB                        2.18
SHREVEPORT (DTN)                     2.18
SLIDELL                              1.19

...MISSISSIPPI...

BUDE (HOMOCHITTO NATIONAL FOREST)   11.53 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
GREENVILLE                          11.09
VICKSBURG 2.2 NE                     8.94 (THROUGH WED 12 PM CDT)
VICKSBURG                            8.21
MCCOMB                               7.52
HATTIESBURG                          6.42
PASCAGOULA                           4.61
BILOXI/KEESLER AFB                   4.10
LAUREL                               4.08
GREENWOOD                            1.99
JACKSON (JAN)                        1.87
GULFPORT                             1.83

...ARKANSAS...

HAMBURG                             11.25 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
LITTLE ROCK AFB                     10.82
CROSSETT 2 SSE                      10.10 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
HAMPTON                              9.80 (THROUGH WED 11 AM CDT)
HOT SPRINGS (WHITTINGTON CREEK)      8.96 (THROUGH WED 11 AM CDT)
HOT SPRINGS                          8.14
MONTICELLO                           7.37
LITTLE ROCK (LIT)                    6.40
MOUNT IDA                            6.38
STUTTGART                            5.86
FORT SMITH                           5.69
TEXARKANA                            5.08
FAYETTEVILLE                         4.58
PINE BLUFF                           4.49
FLIPPIN                              4.20
SEARCY                               3.91
HARRISON                             3.84
SPRINGDALE                           3.81
EL DORADO                            3.54
SILOAM SPRINGS                       3.48
BATESVILLE                           2.99
RUSSELLVILLE                         2.65
JONESBORO                            1.54


...MISSOURI...

FORSYTH 1.9 SW                       3.78 (THROUGH WED 7 AM CDT)
WEST PLAINS                          2.95
SPRINGFIELD                          2.88
JOPLIN                               2.81
FORNEY AAF                           2.58
SEDALIA                              2.27
KAISER/LAKE OZARK                    1.48
JEFFERSON CITY                       1.45
ROLLA                                1.33
POPLAR BLUFF                         1.19
COLUMBIA                             1.12

...OKLAHOMA...

MUSKOGEE                             2.03
MCALESTER                            1.70

...TEXAS...

PARIS                                1.07
LONGVIEW                             0.88

...KANSAS...

CHANUTE                              1.64

...ILLINOIS...

QUINCY                               1.49

...TENNESSEE...

MEMPHIS (MEM)                        0.90

...FLORIDA...

PENSACOLA NAS (NPA)                  4.12
PENSACOLA (PNS)                      2.14
DESTIN                               2.08
MARATHON                             2.04
KENDALL-TAMIAMI (TMB)                1.92
VALPARAISO/EGLIN AFB                 1.69
HOMESTEAD                            1.62
VERO BEACH                           1.58
KEY WEST                             1.46

...ALABAMA...

MOBILE BROOKLEY FIELD (BFM)          3.10
MOBILE (MOB)                         2.26

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM MISSOURI
NORTHEASTWARD INTO PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS...SOUTHEASTERN
WISCONSIN...SOUTHEASTERN IOWA...NORTHWESTERN INDIANA AND MUCH OF
MICHIGAN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING.ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...EASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND
WESTERN ALABAMA THROUGH THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...35.6 NORTH...93.2
WEST...MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST AT 11 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...15 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON GUSTAV WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON GUSTAV.

MUSHER

FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 04/0900Z 35.6N 93.2W
12HR VT 04/1800Z 38.3N 90.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 05/0600Z 42.5N 85.0W...EXTRATROPICAL



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Last Updated: 443 AM EDT THU SEP 04 2008