THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 15 FOR REMNANTS OF HERMINE
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL102010
1000 AM CDT THU SEP 09 2010

...REMNANTS OF HERMINE CONTINUE TO BRING FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THE OZARKS...
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.8N 96.2W
ABOUT 190 MILES...310 KM...SSW OF KANSAS CITY MISSOURI.
ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...SE OF WICHITA KANSAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 63 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES REMAIN
IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...EASTWARD
TO MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH...AND
LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST. THE LOW CENTER WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD
TOWARDS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS ON THURSDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED
HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. 


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 AM CDT 

...ARKANSAS...
CLARKSVILLE 1.7 N                    4.03                      
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              3.78                      
JASPER 2.1 NW                        3.50                      
LAMAR 5.7 NNE                        3.36                      
SPRINGDALE 5.8 ENE                   3.04                      
BUSCH 0.4 E                          2.80                      
EUREKA SPRINGS 0.5 N                 2.78                      
FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE              2.71                      
PEA RIDGE 0.2 WSW                    2.52                      
MAGAZINE 3.0 NNW                     2.52                      
BENTONVILLE 0.6 W                    2.48                      
WESTERN GROVE 0.1 SSE                2.40                      
DECATUR 2.6 ESE                      2.38                      
BELLA VISTA 2.0 E                    2.33                      

...KANSAS...
HUMBOLDT 4.6 ESE                     2.26                      
IOLA 2.7 SSE                         2.18                      

...MISSOURI...
NOEL 3.7 NNW                         4.40                      
SELIGMAN 3.0 N                       2.53                      
KIMBERLING CITY 1.5 WNW              2.35                      
SHELL KNOB 5.6 ESE                   2.22                      
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT                     2.21                      
GALENA 2.4 NW                        2.10                      
EMERALD BEACH 3.0 S                  2.08                      

...OKLAHOMA...
EUFAULA 4.6 ENE                     10.35                      
PURCELL 6.7 W                        6.14                      
BOWLEGS                              5.17                      
HOLDENVILLE                          5.12                      
TECUMSEH 0.4 ESE                     5.05                      
NOBLE 3.3 SE                         4.64                      
NORMAN 10.9 ESE                      4.50                      
ADA 0.3 NNW                          4.50                      
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                      3.95                      
ETOWAH 5.9 NNW                       3.91                      
TULSA 6.0 SSW                        3.71                      
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         3.53                      

...TEXAS...
GEORGETOWN                          15.62                      
FRISCO 1.9 N                        14.82                      
ANDERSON MILL 1.4 NW                13.19                      
JOLLYVILLE 2.1 SSW                  13.14                      
CEDAR PARK 1.0 ESE                  12.99                      
LEANDER 2.5 ESE                     12.71                      
KILLEEN 2.9 SSW                     12.38                      
AUSTIN 10.7 N                       11.95                      
BRUSHY CREEK 1.4 S                  11.87                      
WEST LAKE HILLS 2.4 NNW             11.69                      
FORT WORTH 5.4 SSW                   7.48                      
SAN ANTONIO/STINSON MUNI ARPT        6.73                      
HOUSTON 1.4 NE                       4.47                      
CORPUS CHRISTI NAS                   3.17                      


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER GERHARDT

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 09/1500Z 36.8N 96.2W
12HR VT 10/0000Z 37.1N 94.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL 
24HR VT 10/1200Z 38.5N 92.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL 




Last Updated: 1047 AM EDT THU SEP 09 2010