PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 15 FOR REMNANTS OF HERMINE NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL102010 1000 AM CDT THU SEP 09 2010 ...REMNANTS OF HERMINE CONTINUE TO BRING FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THE OZARKS... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.8N 96.2W ABOUT 190 MILES...310 KM...SSW OF KANSAS CITY MISSOURI. ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...SE OF WICHITA KANSAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 63 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...EASTWARD TO MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST. THE LOW CENTER WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS ON THURSDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS ------- RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS --------------- SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 AM CDT ...ARKANSAS... CLARKSVILLE 1.7 N 4.03 HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT 3.78 JASPER 2.1 NW 3.50 LAMAR 5.7 NNE 3.36 SPRINGDALE 5.8 ENE 3.04 BUSCH 0.4 E 2.80 EUREKA SPRINGS 0.5 N 2.78 FAYETTEVILLE/SPRINGDALE 2.71 PEA RIDGE 0.2 WSW 2.52 MAGAZINE 3.0 NNW 2.52 BENTONVILLE 0.6 W 2.48 WESTERN GROVE 0.1 SSE 2.40 DECATUR 2.6 ESE 2.38 BELLA VISTA 2.0 E 2.33 ...KANSAS... HUMBOLDT 4.6 ESE 2.26 IOLA 2.7 SSE 2.18 ...MISSOURI... NOEL 3.7 NNW 4.40 SELIGMAN 3.0 N 2.53 KIMBERLING CITY 1.5 WNW 2.35 SHELL KNOB 5.6 ESE 2.22 JOPLIN RGNL ARPT 2.21 GALENA 2.4 NW 2.10 EMERALD BEACH 3.0 S 2.08 ...OKLAHOMA... EUFAULA 4.6 ENE 10.35 PURCELL 6.7 W 6.14 BOWLEGS 5.17 HOLDENVILLE 5.12 TECUMSEH 0.4 ESE 5.05 NOBLE 3.3 SE 4.64 NORMAN 10.9 ESE 4.50 ADA 0.3 NNW 4.50 SULPHUR 2.5 WSW 3.95 ETOWAH 5.9 NNW 3.91 TULSA 6.0 SSW 3.71 MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT 3.53 ...TEXAS... GEORGETOWN 15.62 FRISCO 1.9 N 14.82 ANDERSON MILL 1.4 NW 13.19 JOLLYVILLE 2.1 SSW 13.14 CEDAR PARK 1.0 ESE 12.99 LEANDER 2.5 ESE 12.71 KILLEEN 2.9 SSW 12.38 AUSTIN 10.7 N 11.95 BRUSHY CREEK 1.4 S 11.87 WEST LAKE HILLS 2.4 NNW 11.69 FORT WORTH 5.4 SSW 7.48 SAN ANTONIO/STINSON MUNI ARPT 6.73 HOUSTON 1.4 NE 4.47 CORPUS CHRISTI NAS 3.17 NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM. FORECASTER GERHARDT FORECAST POSITIONS ------------------ INITIAL 09/1500Z 36.8N 96.2W 12HR VT 10/0000Z 37.1N 94.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 10/1200Z 38.5N 92.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL