THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 16 FOR REMNANTS OF HERMINE
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL102010
400 PM CDT THU SEP 09 2010

...REMNANTS OF HERMINE CONTINUE TO BRING FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.7N 95.2W
ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...ESE OF CHANUTE/MARTIN JOHN KANSAS.
ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...SSW OF KANSAS CITY  MISSOURI.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES REMAIN
IN EFFECT OVER PARTS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...SOUTHWESTERN
ILLINOIS...MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF REMNANT CIRCULATION OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7
NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST. THE LOW CENTER IS EXPECTED TO
TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO MISSOURI TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE. POTENTIAL
OF FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS NORTHERN
ARKANSAS...SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI...EXTREME WESTERN KENTUCKY AND
NORTHWESTERN TENNESSEE FROM TONIGHT INTO EARLY ON FRIDAY.  

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES...WITH
LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 3 PM CDT 

...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON                             6.53                      
CLARKSVILLE 1.7 N                    4.03                      
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              3.78                      
JASPER 2.1 NW                        3.50                      
LAMAR 5.7 NNE                        3.36                      
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD             3.23                      
SPRINGDALE 5.8 ENE                   3.04                      
BUSCH 0.4 E                          2.80                      
EUREKA SPRINGS 0.5 N                 2.78                      
PEA RIDGE 0.2 WSW                    2.52                      
MAGAZINE 3.0 NNW                     2.52                      
BENTONVILLE 0.6 W                    2.48                      
WESTERN GROVE 0.1 SSE                2.40                      
DECATUR 2.6 ESE                      2.38                      
BELLA VISTA 2.0 E                    2.33                      

...KANSAS...
HUMBOLDT 4.6 ESE                     2.26                      
IOLA 2.7 SSE                         2.18                      

...MISSOURI...
NOEL 3.7 NNW                         4.40                      
SELIGMAN 3.0 N                       2.53                      
KIMBERLING CITY 1.5 WNW              2.35                      
SHELL KNOB 5.6 ESE                   2.22                      
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT                     2.21                      
GALENA 2.4 NW                        2.10                      
EMERALD BEACH 3.0 S                  2.08                      

...OKLAHOMA...
EUFAULA 4.6 ENE                     10.35                      
PURCELL 6.7 W                        6.14                      
BOWLEGS                              5.17                      
HOLDENVILLE                          5.12                      
TECUMSEH 0.4 ESE                     5.05                      
NOBLE 3.3 SE                         4.64                      
NORMAN 10.9 ESE                      4.50                      
ADA 0.3 NNW                          4.50                      
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                      3.95                      
ETOWAH 5.9 NNW                       3.91                      
TULSA 6.0 SSW                        3.71                      
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         3.54                      

...TEXAS...
GEORGETOWN                          15.62                      
FRISCO 1.9 N                        14.82                      
ANDERSON MILL 1.4 NW                13.19                      
JOLLYVILLE 2.1 SSW                  13.14                      
CEDAR PARK 1.0 ESE                  12.99                      
LEANDER 2.5 ESE                     12.71                      
KILLEEN 2.9 SSW                     12.38                      
AUSTIN 10.7 N                       11.95                      
BRUSHY CREEK 1.4 S                  11.87                      
WEST LAKE HILLS 2.4 NNW             11.69                      
FORT WORTH 5.4 SSW                   7.48                      
SAN ANTONIO/STINSON MUNI ARPT        6.73                      
HOUSTON 1.4 NE                       4.47                      
CORPUS CHRISTI NAS                   3.17                      


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON
THIS STORM.

FORECASTER KONG/HEDGE

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 09/2100Z 37.7N 95.2W
12HR VT 10/0600Z 38.0N 93.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL 




Last Updated: 503 PM EDT THU SEP 09 2010