THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER

CAMP SPRINGS, MD


TROPICAL SUMMARY MESSAGE



PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 17 FOR REMNANTS OF HERMINE
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL102010
1000 PM CDT THU SEP 09 2010

...FLOODING POTENTIAL DECREASES OVER THE OZARKS INTO THE LOWER
OHIO VALLEY STATES...AS REMNANT LOW CENTER OF HERMINE BEGINS TO
DISSIPATE...
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.7N 95.0W
ABOUT 25 MILES...45 KM...E OF CHANUTE/MARTIN JOHN KANSAS.
ABOUT 120 MILES...193 KM...SSW OF KANSAS CITY  MISSOURI.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...10 MPH...19 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS...FLOOD WATCHES AND ADVISORIES...REMAIN IN
EFFECT OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN
MISSOURI AND EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS...AS WELL AS PARTS OF
NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF REMNANTS OF HERMINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST. THE
REMNANT LOW CENTER OF HERMINE IS DISSIPATING OVER EASTERN KANSAS.
POTENTIAL OF FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS NORTHERN
ARKANSAS...SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI...EXTREME WESTERN KENTUCKY AND
NORTHWESTERN TENNESSEE INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 10 MPH...19 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES...WITH
LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY FROM
SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI...NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS INTO WESTERN
KENTUCKY AND WESTERN TENNESSEE.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 9 PM CDT 

...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON                             6.57                      
CLARKSVILLE 1.7 N                    4.03                      
WALNUT RIDGE RGNL ARPT               3.60                      
JASPER 2.1 NW                        3.50                      
LAMAR 5.7 NNE                        3.36                      
FAYETTEVILLE/DRAKE FIELD             3.23                      
SPRINGDALE 5.8 ENE                   3.04                      
BUSCH 0.4 E                          2.80                      
EUREKA SPRINGS 0.5 N                 2.78                      
PEA RIDGE 0.2 WSW                    2.52                      
MAGAZINE 3.0 NNW                     2.52                      
BENTONVILLE 0.6 W                    2.48                      
WESTERN GROVE 0.1 SSE                2.40                      
DECATUR 2.6 ESE                      2.38                      
BELLA VISTA 2.0 E                    2.33                      

...KANSAS...
HUMBOLDT 4.6 ESE                     2.26                      
IOLA 2.7 SSE                         2.18                      

...MISSOURI...
NOEL 3.7 NNW                         4.40                      
WEST PLAINS MUNI ARPT                2.62                      
SELIGMAN 3.0 N                       2.53                      
JOPLIN RGNL ARPT                     2.36                      
KIMBERLING CITY 1.5 WNW              2.35                      
SHELL KNOB 5.6 ESE                   2.22                      
GALENA 2.4 NW                        2.10                      
EMERALD BEACH 3.0 S                  2.08                      
SPRINGFIELD MUNI ARPT                1.88                      

...OKLAHOMA...
EUFAULA 4.6 ENE                     10.35                      
PURCELL 6.7 W                        6.14                      
BOWLEGS                              5.17                      
HOLDENVILLE                          5.12                      
TECUMSEH 0.4 ESE                     5.05                      
NOBLE 3.3 SE                         4.64                      
NORMAN 10.9 ESE                      4.50                      
ADA 0.3 NNW                          4.50                      
SULPHUR 2.5 WSW                      3.95                      
ETOWAH 5.9 NNW                       3.91                      
TULSA 6.0 SSW                        3.71                      
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         3.54                      

...TEXAS...
GEORGETOWN                          15.62                      
FRISCO 1.9 N                        14.82                      
ANDERSON MILL 1.4 NW                13.19                      
JOLLYVILLE 2.1 SSW                  13.14                      
CEDAR PARK 1.0 ESE                  12.99                      
LEANDER 2.5 ESE                     12.71                      
KILLEEN 2.9 SSW                     12.38                      
AUSTIN 10.7 N                       11.95                      
BRUSHY CREEK 1.4 S                  11.87                      
WEST LAKE HILLS 2.4 NNW             11.69                      
FORT WORTH 5.4 SSW                   7.48                      
SAN ANTONIO/STINSON MUNI ARPT        6.73                      
HOUSTON 1.4 NE                       4.47                      
CORPUS CHRISTI NAS                   3.17                      


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 10/0300Z 37.7N 95.0W
12HR VT 10/1200Z 37.4N 90.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROPICAL 




Last Updated: 1100 PM EDT THU SEP 09 2010